Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Feltner
#18 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Robert Gasser
#54 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Feltner | 3-4 | 5.73 | 1.42 | 5.0 | 4 |
| Robert Gasser | 2-4 | 4.71 | 1.21 | 6.0 | 4 |
3-4
W-L
2-4
5.73
ERA
Ldr 4.71
1.42
WHIP
Ldr 1.21
5.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 6.0
4
K (Strikeouts)
4
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
46%
BREWERS
54%
ROCKIES
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
46%
Under 0
54%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
COL By 1-2 runs
17.2%
COL By 3-4 runs
11.8%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.3%
MIL By 3-4 runs
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
4.2
COLORADO
Milwaukee
4.8
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Milwaukee
6
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Brewers
Win
54% Win Prob
D
Sim
Brewers
Win
77% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Brewers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.6
B
Sim
Brewers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Sim
u9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 26, 2026
COL @ MIL
2 - 11
Jul 25, 2026
COL @ MIL
5 - 8
Jul 24, 2026
COL @ MIL
5 - 2
Jun 7, 2026
MIL @ COL
12 - 4
Jun 6, 2026
MIL @ COL
7 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.64
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.254
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.322
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.417
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.739
OPS
▲
.743
180
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+42.0% more
Milwaukee: 1.1
vs
Colorado: 0.7
Runs per Game (Season)
+10.8% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Colorado: 4.6
On-Base Pct (Season)
+1.9%
Milwaukee: 34.1%
vs
Colorado: 32.2%
Batting Avg (Season)
+0.4%
Milwaukee: 25.8%
vs
Colorado: 25.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
4.2
5
MIL Score
4.8
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.8
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.7 / 8.4
13.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 0.7
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.0 / 7.7
9.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
12.9 / 13.4
19.0 / 8.0
Walks
2.9 / 3.0
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
COL
MIL
COL
ML
62%
101-61
60%
97-64
52%
84-78
55%
88-73
ATS
58%
94-68
60%
97-64
48%
78-84
52%
83-78
TTL
40%
62-92-8
60%
93-62-6
50%
77-77-8
50%
77-78-6