ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
44-60 | Road
0
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
52-54 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
👤
STARTING PITCHER
Brady Basso
#66 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Yoendrys Gomez
#94 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Basso | 0-0 | 5.06 | 1.92 | 2.1 | 3 |
| Yoendrys Gomez | None-None | 3.40 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
0-0
W-L
None-None
5.06
ERA
Ldr 3.40
1.92
WHIP
--
2.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
54%
TWINS
46%
ATHLETICS
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
48%
Under 0
52%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.3
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIN +0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
ATH By 1-2 runs
18.9%
ATH By 3-4 runs
14.4%
MIN By 1-2 runs
17.9%
MIN By 3-4 runs
12.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
4.5
ATHLETICS
Minnesota
4.2
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Athletics
4
ATHLETICS
Minnesota
6
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Athletics
Loss
54% Win Prob
D
Sim
Twins
Win
69% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Twins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +0.3
C
Sim
Twins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u10.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.7
D
Sim
u10.0
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 26, 2026
MIN @ ATH
4 - 7
Aug 25, 2026
MIN @ ATH
2 - 4
Aug 24, 2026
MIN @ ATH
9 - 6
Jul 26, 2026
ATH @ MIN
8 - 11
Jul 25, 2026
ATH @ MIN
0 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Minnesota
MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.31
Runs / Game
▲
4.56
.245
Avg (AVG)
.245
.317
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.719
OPS
▲
.720
194
▲
Home Runs
187
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+43.0% more
Athletics: 0.9
vs
Minnesota: 0.5
Total Bases (L5)
+36.2% more
Athletics: 13.5
vs
Minnesota: 8.6
Hits (L5)
+30.5% more
Athletics: 8.5
vs
Minnesota: 5.9
Errors (L5)
+10.0% more
Athletics: 0.2
vs
Minnesota: 0.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
4.5
0
MIN Score
4.2
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.2
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.9 / 8.5
6.0 / 3.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.8 / 6.4
8.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
8.6 / 13.5
8.0 / 5.0
Walks
4.5 / 2.8
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
ATH
MIN
ATH
ML
52%
84-78
59%
95-67
50%
80-81
54%
87-74
ATS
59%
95-67
52%
84-78
59%
95-66
50%
81-80
TTL
51%
78-75-9
54%
84-73-5
53%
80-72-9
42%
66-90-5
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