Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Giants LAA @ SF

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

41-64  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, Jul 25 • 4:05 PM ET
Oracle Park
View Odds Details →

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

44-60  |  Home

9
Probable Pitchers
Ryan Johnson
STARTING PITCHER

Ryan Johnson

#32 | Starting Pitcher
@
Tristan Beck
STARTING PITCHER

Tristan Beck

#43 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Ryan Johnson 2-4 7.34 1.43 3.1 4
Tristan Beck None-None 6.39 -- 2.0 --
2-4 W-L None-None
7.34 ERA Ldr 6.39
1.43 WHIP --
3.1 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 2.0
4 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
34%
📊
GIANTS
66%
ANGELS --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 46%
Under 0 54%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (San Francisco)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 GiantsSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

32.6%

Giants Cover

67.4%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SF -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

LAA By 1-2 runs

14.1%

LAA By 3-4 runs

8.4%

SF By 1-2 runs

19.7%

SF By 3-4 runs

18.1%

AI Model Projected Score
3
LOS ANGELES
4.8
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
5
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Giants Win
66% Win Prob
B
Sim Giants Win
59% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.8
D
Sim Angels (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u9.0 Loss
Proj Total: 7.8
C
Sim u9.0 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 26, 2026 LAA @ SF 4 - 3
Jul 25, 2026 LAA @ SF 2 - 9
Jul 24, 2026 LAA @ SF 6 - 7
Apr 20, 2025 SF @ LAA 4 - 5
Apr 19, 2025 SF @ LAA 3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
San Francisco SF
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.13
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.310 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.306
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .400
.679
OPS
▲ .706
154
Home Runs
▲ 178
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +71.0% more
San Francisco: 1.4 vs Los Angeles: 0.6
Home Runs (Season) +15.6% more
San Francisco: 178.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Slugging Pct (Season) +3.1%
San Francisco: 40.0% vs Los Angeles: 36.9%
OPS (Season) +2.7%
San Francisco: 70.6% vs Los Angeles: 67.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 3.0 2
SF Score 4.8 9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.4 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 6.7 / 8.2 11.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 1.4 / 0.6 2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.5 / 9.6 8.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 12.4 / 12.3 20.0 / 10.0
Walks 3.3 / 3.6 2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
37%MONEY63%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
SF Advantage
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
SF Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
LAA
SF
LAA
ML
49% 79-81
59% 96-66
53% 85-75
55% 89-73
ATS
62% 100-60
60% 97-65
52% 83-77
51% 82-80
TTL
55% 82-68-10
53% 83-74-5
46% 68-81-11
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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