Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Giants LAA @ SF

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

41-63  |  Road

6
FINAL
Fri, Jul 24 • 10:15 PM ET
Oracle Park
View Odds Details →

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

43-60  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
Grayson Rodriguez
STARTING PITCHER

Grayson Rodriguez

#21 | Starting Pitcher
@
Logan Webb
STARTING PITCHER

Logan Webb

#62 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Grayson Rodriguez 3-3 8.54 1.77 4.0 3
Logan Webb 5-7 3.98 1.11 6.0 4
3-3 W-L 5-7
8.54 ERA Ldr 3.98
1.77 WHIP Ldr 1.11
4.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 6.0
3 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 4
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
42%
📊
GIANTS
58%
ANGELS --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 56%
Under 0 44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (San Francisco)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 GiantsSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

40.1%

Giants Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

LAA By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAA By 3-4 runs

10.6%

SF By 1-2 runs

19.6%

SF By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3.8
LOS ANGELES
4.8
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
5
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Giants Win
58% Win Prob
C
Sim Giants Win
59% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Sim Angels (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o8.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.6
C
Sim o8.5 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 26, 2026 LAA @ SF 4 - 3
Jul 25, 2026 LAA @ SF 2 - 9
Jul 24, 2026 LAA @ SF 6 - 7
Apr 20, 2025 SF @ LAA 4 - 5
Apr 19, 2025 SF @ LAA 3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
San Francisco SF
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.13
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.310 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.306
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .400
.679
OPS
▲ .706
154
Home Runs
▲ 178
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +55.0% more
San Francisco: 1.0 vs Los Angeles: 0.5
Errors (L5) +48.0% more
San Francisco: 0.6 vs Los Angeles: 0.1
Home Runs (Season) +15.6% more
San Francisco: 178.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Slugging Pct (Season) +3.1%
San Francisco: 40.0% vs Los Angeles: 36.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 3.8 6
SF Score 4.8 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.1 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 5.6 / 7.8 9.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 0.5 2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.7 / 9.4 8.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 10.5 / 10.4 16.0 / 16.0
Walks 2.5 / 2.9 5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
16%MONEY84%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
SF Advantage
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
SF Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
LAA
SF
LAA
ML
49% 79-81
59% 96-66
53% 85-75
55% 89-73
ATS
62% 100-60
60% 97-65
52% 83-77
51% 82-80
TTL
55% 82-68-10
53% 83-74-5
46% 68-81-11
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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