MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
51-53 | Road
3
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
54-50 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Taj Bradley
#26 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Gavin Williams
#32 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley | 9-4 | 3.69 | 1.25 | 7.0 | 5 |
| Gavin Williams | 10-5 | 3.78 | 1.15 | 7.0 | 11 |
9-4
W-L
10-5
3.69 Ldr
ERA
3.78
1.25
WHIP
Ldr 1.15
7.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
7.0
5
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 11
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
36%
GUARDIANS
64%
TWINS
--
GUARDIANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
47%
Under 0
53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CLE -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
MIN By 1-2 runs
15.3%
MIN By 3-4 runs
9.5%
CLE By 1-2 runs
19.7%
CLE By 3-4 runs
17.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
2.8
MINNESOTA
Cleveland
4.2
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Cleveland
4
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Guardians
Loss
64% Win Prob
B
Sim
Twins
Win
61% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Guardians (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.4
D
Sim
Twins (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u7.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
o7.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
CLE @ MIN
9 - 2
Sep 12, 2026
CLE @ MIN
3 - 4
Sep 11, 2026
CLE @ MIN
5 - 2
Jul 23, 2026
MIN @ CLE
3 - 1
Jul 22, 2026
MIN @ CLE
10 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota
MIN
vs
Cleveland
CLE
162
Games Played
162
4.56
▲
Runs / Game
4.19
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.380
.720
▲
OPS
.696
187
▲
Home Runs
162
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+147.0% more
Cleveland: 1.6
vs
Minnesota: 0.2
Home Runs (L5)
+42.1% more
Cleveland: 1.6
vs
Minnesota: 1.1
Hits (L5)
+33.7% more
Cleveland: 11.7
vs
Minnesota: 8.8
Total Bases (L5)
+32.8% more
Cleveland: 18.8
vs
Minnesota: 14.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
2.8
3
CLE Score
4.2
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.6 / 0.2
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
11.7 / 8.8
3.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 1.1
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
6.3 / 8.2
10.0 / 14.0
Total Bases
18.8 / 14.1
6.0 / 6.0
Walks
3.0 / 2.8
7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
MIN
CLE
MIN
ML
54%
87-74
52%
84-78
49%
80-82
50%
80-81
ATS
58%
93-68
59%
95-67
59%
95-67
59%
95-66
TTL
55%
88-71-2
51%
78-75-9
43%
69-90-2
53%
80-72-9
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