NEW YORK
METSNYM
43-60 | Road
3
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
64-38 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Christian Scott
#45 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Logan Henderson
#43 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Scott | 3-1 | 3.13 | 1.22 | 3.2 | 6 |
| Logan Henderson | 3-1 | 3.05 | 0.93 | 5.0 | 9 |
3-1
W-L
3-1
3.13
ERA
Ldr 3.05
1.22
WHIP
Ldr 0.93
3.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 5.0
6
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 9
AI Model Win Probability
METS
36%
BREWERS
64%
METS
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
56%
Under 0
44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
NYM By 1-2 runs
14.7%
NYM By 3-4 runs
8.9%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIL By 3-4 runs
17.7%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3.2
NEW YORK
Milwaukee
4.8
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Milwaukee
6
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Brewers
Win
64% Win Prob
B
Sim
Brewers
Win
77% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Brewers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.6
D
Sim
Brewers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Sim
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 27, 2026
MIL @ NYM
8 - 2
Aug 26, 2026
MIL @ NYM
8 - 1
Aug 25, 2026
MIL @ NYM
2 - 3
Jul 22, 2026
NYM @ MIL
3 - 4
Jul 21, 2026
NYM @ MIL
4 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYM
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.31
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.395
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.705
OPS
▲
.743
204
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+19.3% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
New York: 4.3
OPS (Season)
+3.8%
Milwaukee: 74.3%
vs
New York: 70.5%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+3.1%
Milwaukee: 34.1%
vs
New York: 31.0%
Batting Avg (Season)
+1.9%
Milwaukee: 25.8%
vs
New York: 23.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYM Score
3.2
3
MIL Score
4.8
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.5
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.6 / 9.4
8.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 1.2
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.5 / 9.6
9.0 / 15.0
Total Bases
11.3 / 14.8
13.0 / 15.0
Walks
3.4 / 4.3
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYM
74-88-0
(45.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYM
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
NYM
MIL
NYM
ML
62%
101-61
50%
79-80
52%
84-78
48%
76-83
ATS
58%
94-68
58%
93-66
48%
78-84
49%
78-81
TTL
40%
62-92-8
55%
80-66-13
50%
77-77-8
51%
74-72-13
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