WASHINGTON
NATIONALSWSH
51-51 | Road
7
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
41-62 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Carson Palmquist
#51 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jordan Romano
#68 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Palmquist | 0-1 | 8.74 | 1.45 | 1.2 | 2 |
| Jordan Romano | None-None | 6.59 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
0-1
W-L
None-None
8.74
ERA
Ldr 6.59
1.45
WHIP
--
1.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
NATIONALS
37%
ROCKIES
63%
NATIONALS
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
13.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around COL -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
WSH By 1-2 runs
15.3%
WSH By 3-4 runs
9.5%
COL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
COL By 3-4 runs
17.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
5.8
WASHINGTON
Colorado
7.2
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Washington
9
WASHINGTON
Colorado
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rockies
Win
63% Win Prob
C
Sim
Nationals
Loss
77% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Rockies (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.4
A
Sim
Nationals (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u13.5
Loss
Proj Total: 13.0
D
Sim
o13.5
Win
Proj Total: 15.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 27, 2026
COL @ WSH
1 - 7
Aug 26, 2026
COL @ WSH
13 - 1
Aug 25, 2026
COL @ WSH
3 - 1
Aug 24, 2026
COL @ WSH
3 - 13
Jul 22, 2026
WSH @ COL
8 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Washington
WSH
vs
Colorado
COL
162
Games Played
162
5.07
▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.246
Avg (AVG)
▲
.254
.321
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.322
.423
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.417
.744
▲
OPS
.739
210
▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Batting Avg (Season)
+0.8%
Colorado: 25.4%
vs
Washington: 24.6%
Errors (L5)
+72.0% more
Washington: 1.0
vs
Colorado: 0.3
Home Runs (L5)
+41.8% more
Washington: 2.3
vs
Colorado: 1.3
Total Bases (L5)
+31.2% more
Washington: 19.0
vs
Colorado: 13.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
5.8
7
COL Score
7.2
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 1.0
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.7 / 9.8
12.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.3 / 2.3
2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
6.4 / 8.9
6.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
13.1 / 19.0
21.0 / 21.0
Walks
2.8 / 3.7
2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
Advantage
(56.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
85-69-8
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +1.3
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
WSH
COL
WSH
ML
60%
97-64
57%
92-69
55%
88-73
54%
87-74
ATS
60%
97-64
58%
93-68
52%
83-78
57%
91-70
TTL
60%
93-62-6
50%
77-78-6
50%
77-78-6
42%
65-90-6
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