NEW YORK
METSNYM
42-59 | Road
3
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
63-37 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Xzavion Curry
#53 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Misiorowski
#32 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xzavion Curry | None-None | 3.00 | -- | 2.2 | 2 |
| Jacob Misiorowski | 10-4 | 1.57 | 0.76 | 4.0 | 6 |
None-None
W-L
10-4
3.00
ERA
Ldr 1.57
--
WHIP
0.76
2.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 4.0
2
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 6
AI Model Win Probability
METS
37%
BREWERS
63%
METS
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
48%
Under 0
52%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
NYM By 1-2 runs
15.0%
NYM By 3-4 runs
9.2%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIL By 3-4 runs
17.5%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Milwaukee
4.5
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Milwaukee
6
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Brewers
Win
63% Win Prob
B
Sim
Brewers
Win
77% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Brewers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim
Brewers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.5
D
Sim
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 27, 2026
MIL @ NYM
8 - 2
Aug 26, 2026
MIL @ NYM
8 - 1
Aug 25, 2026
MIL @ NYM
2 - 3
Jul 22, 2026
NYM @ MIL
3 - 4
Jul 21, 2026
NYM @ MIL
4 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYM
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.31
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.395
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.705
OPS
▲
.743
204
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+19.3% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
New York: 4.3
Strikeouts (L5)
+18.6% more
Milwaukee: 10.6
vs
New York: 8.9
Walks (L5)
+14.6% more
Milwaukee: 5.3
vs
New York: 4.7
OPS (Season)
+3.8%
Milwaukee: 74.3%
vs
New York: 70.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYM Score
3.0
3
MIL Score
4.5
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 1.1
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.9 / 8.5
10.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 1.3
3.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
10.6 / 8.9
8.0 / 15.0
Total Bases
10.8 / 14.0
23.0 / 7.0
Walks
5.3 / 4.7
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYM
74-88-0
(45.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYM
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
NYM
MIL
NYM
ML
62%
101-61
50%
79-80
52%
84-78
48%
76-83
ATS
58%
94-68
58%
93-66
48%
78-84
49%
78-81
TTL
40%
62-92-8
55%
80-66-13
50%
77-77-8
51%
74-72-13
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