MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
49-52 | Road
4
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
53-48 | Home
13
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Joe Ryan
#41 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tanner Bibee
#28 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan | 6-5 | 3.38 | 1.05 | 4.0 | 3 |
| Tanner Bibee | 3-9 | 3.86 | 1.15 | 6.0 | 5 |
6-5
W-L
3-9
3.38 Ldr
ERA
3.86
1.05 Ldr
WHIP
1.15
4.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 6.0
3
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
59%
GUARDIANS
41%
TWINS
--
GUARDIANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
47%
Under 0
53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CLE +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
MIN By 1-2 runs
19.6%
MIN By 3-4 runs
16.3%
CLE By 1-2 runs
16.3%
CLE By 3-4 runs
10.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Cleveland
5
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Twins
Loss
59% Win Prob
C
Sim
Guardians
Win
69% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Guardians (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Sim
Guardians (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
CLE @ MIN
9 - 2
Sep 12, 2026
CLE @ MIN
3 - 4
Sep 11, 2026
CLE @ MIN
5 - 2
Jul 23, 2026
MIN @ CLE
3 - 1
Jul 22, 2026
MIN @ CLE
10 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota
MIN
vs
Cleveland
CLE
162
Games Played
162
4.56
▲
Runs / Game
4.19
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.380
.720
▲
OPS
.696
187
▲
Home Runs
162
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+13.4% more
Minnesota: 187.0
vs
Cleveland: 162.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+8.1% more
Minnesota: 4.6
vs
Cleveland: 4.2
OPS (Season)
+2.4%
Minnesota: 72.0%
vs
Cleveland: 69.6%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+2.3%
Minnesota: 40.3%
vs
Cleveland: 38.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
4.0
4
CLE Score
3.0
13
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.5
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.7 / 7.8
19.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 0.8
7.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.8 / 6.3
7.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
12.9 / 11.4
44.0 / 15.0
Walks
2.7 / 2.7
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
MIN
CLE
MIN
ML
54%
87-74
52%
84-78
49%
80-82
50%
80-81
ATS
58%
93-68
59%
95-67
59%
95-67
59%
95-66
TTL
55%
88-71-2
51%
78-75-9
43%
69-90-2
53%
80-72-9
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Trump to Honor Roger Clemens with Presidential Medal of Freedom