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DETROIT

TIGERSDET

46-52  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Jul 18 • 10:07 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

38-61  |  Home

0
Probable Pitchers
Brenan Hanifee
STARTING PITCHER

Brenan Hanifee

#75 | Relief Pitcher
@
Grayson Rodriguez
STARTING PITCHER

Grayson Rodriguez

#21 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Brenan Hanifee None-None 3.07 -- 1.0 --
Grayson Rodriguez 3-2 8.23 1.74 4.0 3
None-None W-L 3-2
3.07 Ldr ERA 8.23
-- WHIP 1.74
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 4.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
59%
📊
ANGELS
41%
TIGERS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 47%
Under 0 53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
TigersDET (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

40.1%

Angels Cover

59.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

DET By 1-2 runs

19.6%

DET By 3-4 runs

16.3%

LAA By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAA By 3-4 runs

10.6%

AI Model Projected Score
4.2
DETROIT
3.2
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
5
DETROIT
3
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
59% Win Prob
C
Sim Tigers Win
70% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Angels (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Sim Tigers (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u8.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.4
D
Sim u8.0 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 19, 2026 DET @ LAA 2 - 3
Jul 18, 2026 DET @ LAA 7 - 0
Jul 17, 2026 DET @ LAA 2 - 1
May 28, 2026 LAA @ DET 7 - 1
May 27, 2026 LAA @ DET 0 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit DET
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.46 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.241 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.320 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.400 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.720 ▲
OPS
.679
181 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +48.0% more
Detroit: 0.6 vs Los Angeles: 0.1
Home Runs (Season) +14.9% more
Detroit: 181.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Home Runs (L5) +12.0% more
Detroit: 0.8 vs Los Angeles: 0.7
Runs per Game (Season) +9.4% more
Detroit: 4.5 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 4.2 7
LAA Score 3.2 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.6 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.7 / 6.2 7.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 0.7 / 0.8 0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 10.6 / 10.7 10.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 11.3 / 10.2 7.0 / 20.0
Walks 3.4 / 2.3 2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
84%MONEY16%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET Advantage
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
DET
LAA
DET
ML
59% 96-66
54% 86-73
55% 89-73
54% 87-73
ATS
60% 97-65
64% 101-58
51% 82-80
57% 91-69
TTL
53% 83-74-5
46% 69-81-9
52% 82-75-5
46% 69-81-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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