PHILADELPHIA
PHILLIESPHI
54-43 | Road
5
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
44-52 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Zack Wheeler
#45 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Drew Sommers
#51 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler | 9-1 | 2.13 | 0.91 | 6.0 | 10 |
| Drew Sommers | None-None | 5.40 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
9-1
W-L
None-None
2.13 Ldr
ERA
5.40
0.91
WHIP
--
6.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
10 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
PHILLIES
36%
TIGERS
64%
PHILLIES
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
58%
Under 0
42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
PHI By 1-2 runs
15.0%
PHI By 3-4 runs
9.2%
DET By 1-2 runs
19.7%
DET By 3-4 runs
17.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Detroit
4.5
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Detroit
6
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Tigers
Loss
64% Win Prob
B
Sim
Tigers
Loss
77% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim
Tigers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.5
C
Sim
o7.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 12, 2026
PHI @ DET
5 - 0
Jul 11, 2026
PHI @ DET
4 - 2
Jul 10, 2026
PHI @ DET
2 - 10
Aug 3, 2025
DET @ PHI
0 - 2
Aug 2, 2025
DET @ PHI
7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Philadelphia
PHI
vs
Detroit
DET
2
Games Played
▲
162
3.50
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.247
▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.286
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.438
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.724
▲
OPS
.720
3
Home Runs
▲
181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+5933.3% more
Detroit: 181.0
vs
Philadelphia: 3.0
Home Runs (L5)
+130.0% more
Detroit: 1.9
vs
Philadelphia: 0.6
Total Bases (L5)
+56.8% more
Detroit: 15.2
vs
Philadelphia: 9.7
Errors (L5)
+46.0% more
Detroit: 0.7
vs
Philadelphia: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
3.0
5
DET Score
4.5
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.3
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.4 / 6.4
2.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.9 / 0.6
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.0 / 8.4
14.0 / 12.0
Total Bases
15.2 / 9.7
2.0 / 11.0
Walks
3.3 / 3.0
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
89-76-0
(53.9%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
78-77-10
O: 50.3% / U: 49.7%
Total +/-: +0.4
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
PHI
DET
PHI
ML
54%
86-73
59%
97-67
54%
87-73
49%
80-84
ATS
64%
101-58
65%
107-57
57%
91-69
51%
83-81
TTL
46%
69-81-9
57%
88-67-9
46%
69-81-10
51%
78-76-9
Contextual Game News
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
LSU's Defense Dominates Early, But Real Test Awaits
Alex Cora Joins Growing List of Unavailable Managers for Seattle…
Phillies' 2027 Rotation Projection: Wheeler and Sanchez Lead Sta…
Alex Cora Rejects Phillies Again, Opts to Sit Out 2027 Season