COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
39-58 | Road
2
SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTSSF
40-55 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Kyle Freeland
#21 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
JT Brubaker
#34 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland | 2-7 | 7.36 | 1.61 | 6.0 | 9 |
| JT Brubaker | None-None | 2.87 | -- | 2.0 | 2 |
2-7
W-L
None-None
7.36
ERA
Ldr 2.87
1.61
WHIP
--
6.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
2.0
9 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
33%
GIANTS
67%
ROCKIES
--
GIANTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
47%
Under 0
53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (San Francisco)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SF -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)
COL By 1-2 runs
13.6%
COL By 3-4 runs
7.8%
SF By 1-2 runs
19.6%
SF By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
San Francisco
5
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
Colorado
6
COLORADO
San Francisco
7
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Giants
Win
67% Win Prob
B
Sim
Giants
Win
59% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Giants (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Rockies (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 13.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 16, 2026
COL @ SF
13 - 7
Aug 15, 2026
COL @ SF
1 - 7
Aug 14, 2026
COL @ SF
5 - 2
Jul 12, 2026
COL @ SF
1 - 3
Jul 11, 2026
COL @ SF
2 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
San Francisco
SF
162
Games Played
162
4.64
▲
Runs / Game
4.13
.254
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.322
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.306
.417
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.739
▲
OPS
.706
180
▲
Home Runs
178
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+63.0% more
San Francisco: 1.4
vs
Colorado: 0.8
Total Bases (L5)
+26.2% more
San Francisco: 15.5
vs
Colorado: 12.3
Hits (L5)
+18.1% more
San Francisco: 9.4
vs
Colorado: 8.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+27.0% more
Colorado: 9.2
vs
San Francisco: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
3.0
2
SF Score
5.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.7
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
9.4 / 8.0
7.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 0.8
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
6.7 / 9.2
9.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
15.5 / 12.3
12.0 / 11.0
Walks
4.6 / 4.8
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
SF
Advantage
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
COL
SF
COL
ML
49%
79-81
60%
97-64
53%
85-75
55%
88-73
ATS
62%
100-60
60%
97-64
52%
83-77
52%
83-78
TTL
55%
82-68-10
60%
93-62-6
46%
68-81-11
50%
77-78-6
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