ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
41-54 | Road
0
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
49-45 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Gage Jump
#61 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Erick Fedde
#47 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Jump | 3-3 | 3.51 | 1.30 | 5.2 | 7 |
| Erick Fedde | 4-6 | 4.15 | 1.45 | 4.0 | 3 |
3-3
W-L
4-6
3.51 Ldr
ERA
4.15
1.30 Ldr
WHIP
1.45
5.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
4.0
7 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
3
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
67%
WHITE SOX
33%
ATHLETICS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
64%
Under 0
36%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
ATH By 1-2 runs
19.6%
ATH By 3-4 runs
18.4%
CHW By 1-2 runs
13.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
7.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
6
ATHLETICS
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Athletics
6
ATHLETICS
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Athletics
Loss
67% Win Prob
B
Sim
Athletics
Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Athletics (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Athletics (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
B
Sim
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 12, 2026
ATH @ CHW
1 - 9
Jul 11, 2026
ATH @ CHW
0 - 1
Jul 10, 2026
ATH @ CHW
1 - 14
Apr 19, 2026
CHW @ ATH
7 - 4
Apr 18, 2026
CHW @ ATH
6 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.31
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.719
OPS
▲
.826
194
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.5% more
Athletics: 194.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Errors (L5)
+44.0% more
Athletics: 0.7
vs
Chicago: 0.3
Strikeouts (L5)
+14.8% more
Athletics: 10.5
vs
Chicago: 8.9
Total Bases (L5)
+79.3% more
Chicago: 15.6
vs
Athletics: 8.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
6.0
0
CHW Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.7
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.2 / 6.1
5.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 0.6
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.9 / 10.5
11.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
15.6 / 8.7
8.0 / 7.0
Walks
2.6 / 2.2
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
ATH
CHW
ATH
ML
49%
81-86
59%
95-67
56%
94-73
54%
87-74
ATS
59%
99-68
52%
84-78
56%
93-74
50%
81-80
TTL
58%
96-69-2
54%
84-73-5
51%
84-81-2
42%
66-90-5
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