LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
38-58 | Road
3
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
47-49 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Johnson
#32 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Joe Ryan
#41 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Johnson | 1-4 | 6.75 | 1.55 | 5.0 | 1 |
| Joe Ryan | 6-5 | 2.85 | 1.04 | 6.0 | 6 |
1-4
W-L
6-5
6.75
ERA
Ldr 2.85
1.55
WHIP
Ldr 1.04
5.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 6.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 6
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
37%
TWINS
63%
ANGELS
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIN -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
LAA By 1-2 runs
15.0%
LAA By 3-4 runs
9.2%
MIN By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIN By 3-4 runs
17.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Minnesota
5.5
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Twins
Win
63% Win Prob
C
Sim
Angels
Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Twins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim
Angels (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.5
C
Sim
o9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
MIN @ LAA
8 - 0
Sep 19, 2026
MIN @ LAA
5 - 6
Sep 18, 2026
MIN @ LAA
3 - 0
Sep 17, 2026
MIN @ LAA
4 - 5
Jul 12, 2026
LAA @ MIN
2 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Minnesota
MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
4.56
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.679
OPS
▲
.720
154
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+21.4% more
Minnesota: 187.0
vs
Los Angeles: 154.0
Walks (L5)
+18.6% more
Minnesota: 3.3
vs
Los Angeles: 2.8
Runs per Game (Season)
+12.9% more
Minnesota: 4.6
vs
Los Angeles: 4.0
OPS (Season)
+4.1%
Minnesota: 72.0%
vs
Los Angeles: 67.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
4.0
3
MIN Score
5.5
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.2 / 10.0
9.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 0.9
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 9.7
4.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
13.5 / 14.5
15.0 / 14.0
Walks
3.3 / 2.8
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
LAA
MIN
LAA
ML
52%
84-78
59%
96-66
50%
80-81
55%
89-73
ATS
59%
95-67
60%
97-65
59%
95-66
51%
82-80
TTL
51%
78-75-9
53%
83-74-5
53%
80-72-9
52%
82-75-5
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