ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKSARI
47-47 | Road
9
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
61-34 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Eduardo Rodriguez
#57 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kyle Hurt
#63 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 7-3 | 2.29 | 1.16 | 6.0 | 5 |
| Kyle Hurt | None-None | 4.88 | -- | 1.2 | 1 |
7-3
W-L
None-None
2.29 Ldr
ERA
4.88
1.16
WHIP
--
6.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.2
5 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
DIAMONDBACKS
37%
DODGERS
63%
DIAMONDBACKS
--
DODGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
46%
Under 0
54%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
ARI By 1-2 runs
15.0%
ARI By 3-4 runs
9.2%
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.7%
LAD By 3-4 runs
17.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Arizona
3.5
ARIZONA
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Arizona
5
ARIZONA
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers
Loss
63% Win Prob
C
Sim
Diamondbacks
Win
61% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim
Diamondbacks (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 8.5
C
Sim
u9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 9, 2026
LAD @ ARI
2 - 4
Aug 8, 2026
LAD @ ARI
2 - 1
Aug 7, 2026
LAD @ ARI
3 - 4
Jul 12, 2026
ARI @ LAD
5 - 3
Jul 11, 2026
ARI @ LAD
9 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Arizona
ARI
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.56
Runs / Game
▲
4.94
.246
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.318
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.424
.720
OPS
▲
.762
166
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+51.3% more
Los Angeles: 3.0
vs
Arizona: 2.0
Errors (L5)
+29.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.8
vs
Arizona: 0.5
Home Runs (Season)
+22.9% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Arizona: 166.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+10.2% more
Los Angeles: 8.4
vs
Arizona: 7.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARI Score
3.5
9
LAD Score
5.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.5
3.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.1 / 8.1
9.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 1.0
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.4 / 7.6
9.0 / 12.0
Total Bases
11.2 / 12.1
17.0 / 13.0
Walks
3.0 / 2.0
1.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
86-76-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI
Advantage
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5%
Total +/-: +0.3
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
ARI
LAD
ARI
ML
56%
92-73
54%
87-74
48%
79-87
54%
86-74
ATS
59%
98-67
57%
91-70
43%
72-94
56%
89-71
TTL
48%
77-82-6
52%
80-73-8
44%
70-90-6
49%
73-77-9
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