ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
41-53 | Road
1
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
48-45 | Home
14
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Lopez
#57 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Sean Burke
#59 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Lopez | 4-3 | 6.83 | 1.84 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Sean Burke | 5-4 | 3.41 | 1.22 | 7.0 | 9 |
4-3
W-L
5-4
6.83
ERA
Ldr 3.41
1.84
WHIP
Ldr 1.22
1.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 7.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 9
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
41%
WHITE SOX
59%
ATHLETICS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
64%
Under 0
36%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHW -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
ATH By 1-2 runs
16.3%
ATH By 3-4 runs
10.6%
CHW By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
4.5
ATHLETICS
Chicago
5.5
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Athletics
4
ATHLETICS
Chicago
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
White Sox
Win
59% Win Prob
C
Sim
White Sox
Win
69% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
White Sox (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Sim
White Sox (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
B
Sim
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 12, 2026
ATH @ CHW
1 - 9
Jul 11, 2026
ATH @ CHW
0 - 1
Jul 10, 2026
ATH @ CHW
1 - 14
Apr 19, 2026
CHW @ ATH
7 - 4
Apr 18, 2026
CHW @ ATH
6 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.31
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.719
OPS
▲
.826
194
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+39.2% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Athletics: 4.3
OPS (Season)
+10.7%
Chicago: 82.6%
vs
Athletics: 71.9%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+9.8%
Chicago: 41.5%
vs
Athletics: 31.7%
Home Runs (L5)
+9.0% more
Chicago: 0.5
vs
Athletics: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
4.5
1
CHW Score
5.5
14
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.5
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.3 / 6.7
15.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 0.4
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.9 / 10.2
9.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
8.4 / 9.1
30.0 / 8.0
Walks
2.0 / 2.8
4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
ATH
CHW
ATH
ML
49%
81-86
59%
95-67
56%
94-73
54%
87-74
ATS
59%
99-68
52%
84-78
56%
93-74
50%
81-80
TTL
58%
96-69-2
54%
84-73-5
51%
84-81-2
42%
66-90-5
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