Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Rangers LAA @ TEX

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

37-57  |  Road

6
FINAL
Thu, Jul 9 • 8:05 PM ET
Globe Life Field
View Odds Details →

TEXAS

RANGERSTEX

47-46  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
Reid Detmers
STARTING PITCHER

Reid Detmers

#48 | Starting Pitcher
@
Nathan Eovaldi
STARTING PITCHER

Nathan Eovaldi

#17 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Reid Detmers 3-6 4.39 1.11 4.0 6
Nathan Eovaldi 9-7 4.04 1.17 6.0 10
3-6 W-L 9-7
4.39 ERA Ldr 4.04
1.11 Ldr WHIP 1.17
4.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 6.0
6 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 10
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
41%
📊
RANGERS
59%
ANGELS --
RANGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 61%
Under 0 39%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Texas)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 RangersTEX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

40.1%

Rangers Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TEX -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)

LAA By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAA By 3-4 runs

10.6%

TEX By 1-2 runs

19.6%

TEX By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3.8
LOS ANGELES
4.8
TEXAS
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rangers Win
59% Win Prob
C
Sim Rangers Win
69% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rangers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Sim Rangers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o7.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.6
B
Sim o7.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 23, 2026 LAA @ TEX 3 - 5
Aug 22, 2026 LAA @ TEX 3 - 0
Aug 21, 2026 LAA @ TEX 1 - 2
Aug 13, 2026 TEX @ LAA 0 - 7
Aug 12, 2026 TEX @ LAA 2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Texas TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.15
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .242
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .317
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .396
.679
OPS
▲ .713
154
Home Runs
▲ 183
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +18.8% more
Texas: 183.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Walks (L5) +14.0% more
Texas: 3.2 vs Los Angeles: 2.8
OPS (Season) +3.4%
Texas: 71.3% vs Los Angeles: 67.9%
Runs per Game (Season) +2.7% more
Texas: 4.2 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 3.8 6
TEX Score 4.8 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.5 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.9 / 10.0 11.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 1.4 / 1.4 3.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 10.4 / 9.8 10.0 / 15.0
Total Bases 11.8 / 16.1 22.0 / 12.0
Walks 3.2 / 2.8 1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
TEX Advantage
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
LAA
TEX
LAA
ML
53% 86-76
59% 96-66
57% 91-70
55% 89-73
ATS
57% 92-70
60% 97-65
61% 98-63
51% 82-80
TTL
53% 78-70-14
53% 83-74-5
55% 81-66-14
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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