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COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

38-56  |  Road

3
FINAL
Wed, Jul 8 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

61-33  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Gabriel Hughes
STARTING PITCHER

Gabriel Hughes

#43 | Starting Pitcher
@
Roki Sasaki
STARTING PITCHER

Roki Sasaki

#11 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Gabriel Hughes 0-0 3.00 1.00 6.0 7
Roki Sasaki 3-5 5.33 1.40 6.0 5
0-0 W-L 3-5
3.00 Ldr ERA 5.33
1.00 Ldr WHIP 1.40
6.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 6.0
7 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 5
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
34%
📊
DODGERS
66%
ROCKIES --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Los Angeles)
RockiesCOL (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rockies Cover

30.9%

Dodgers Cover

69.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

COL By 1-2 runs

13.6%

COL By 3-4 runs

7.8%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.6%

LAD By 3-4 runs

18.4%

AI Model Projected Score
4.2
COLORADO
6.2
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
8
COLORADO
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Dodgers Win
66% Win Prob
B
Sim Rockies Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dodgers (+2.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim Rockies (-2.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI u10.5 Win
Proj Total: 10.4
B
Sim o10.5 Loss
Proj Total: 14.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 19, 2026 LAD @ COL 6 - 4
Aug 18, 2026 LAD @ COL 7 - 6
Aug 17, 2026 LAD @ COL 11 - 5
Jul 8, 2026 COL @ LAD 3 - 4
Jul 7, 2026 COL @ LAD 4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado COL
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.64
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.254
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.322
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.417
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.739
OPS
▲ .762
180
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +13.3% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Colorado: 180.0
Runs per Game (Season) +6.5% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs Colorado: 4.6
OPS (Season) +2.3%
Los Angeles: 76.2% vs Colorado: 73.9%
On-Base Pct (Season) +1.6%
Los Angeles: 33.8% vs Colorado: 32.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 4.2 3
LAD Score 6.2 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 1.2 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.6 / 9.5 7.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 0.9 0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 8.1 / 9.2 9.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 12.4 / 14.7 9.0 / 13.0
Walks 3.5 / 4.2 2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
4%MONEY96%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
89%MONEY11%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
COL
LAD
COL
ML
56% 92-73
60% 97-64
48% 79-87
55% 88-73
ATS
59% 98-67
60% 97-64
43% 72-94
52% 83-78
TTL
48% 77-82-6
60% 93-62-6
44% 70-90-6
50% 77-78-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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