Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Rangers LAA @ TEX

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

37-56  |  Road

13
FINAL
Wed, Jul 8 • 8:05 PM ET
Globe Life Field
View Odds Details →

TEXAS

RANGERSTEX

46-46  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Walbert Urena
STARTING PITCHER

Walbert Urena

#57 | Starting Pitcher
@
MacKenzie Gore
STARTING PITCHER

MacKenzie Gore

#1 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Walbert Urena 5-7 2.88 1.31 4.0 3
MacKenzie Gore 5-7 4.72 1.27 5.0 7
5-7 W-L 5-7
2.88 Ldr ERA 4.72
1.31 WHIP Ldr 1.27
4.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 5.0
3 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 7
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
40%
📊
RANGERS
60%
ANGELS --
RANGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 51%
Under 0 49%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Texas)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 RangersTEX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

40.1%

Rangers Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TEX -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)

LAA By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAA By 3-4 runs

10.6%

TEX By 1-2 runs

19.6%

TEX By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3.5
LOS ANGELES
4.5
TEXAS
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
6
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rangers Loss
60% Win Prob
C
Sim Rangers Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rangers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Sim Rangers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o7.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim o7.5 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 23, 2026 LAA @ TEX 3 - 5
Aug 22, 2026 LAA @ TEX 3 - 0
Aug 21, 2026 LAA @ TEX 1 - 2
Aug 13, 2026 TEX @ LAA 0 - 7
Aug 12, 2026 TEX @ LAA 2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Texas TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.15
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .242
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .317
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .396
.679
OPS
▲ .713
154
Home Runs
▲ 183
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +109.0% more
Texas: 1.6 vs Los Angeles: 0.6
Total Bases (L5) +45.6% more
Texas: 14.8 vs Los Angeles: 10.1
Home Runs (Season) +18.8% more
Texas: 183.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Hits (L5) +16.3% more
Texas: 8.8 vs Los Angeles: 7.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 3.5 13
TEX Score 4.5 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.8 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.8 / 7.5 3.0 / 15.0
Home Runs 1.6 / 0.6 1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 8.6 / 10.1 14.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 14.8 / 10.1 6.0 / 28.0
Walks 2.3 / 3.2 5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
94%TICKETS6%
94%MONEY6%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
TEX Advantage
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
LAA
TEX
LAA
ML
53% 86-76
59% 96-66
57% 91-70
55% 89-73
ATS
57% 92-70
60% 97-65
61% 98-63
51% 82-80
TTL
53% 78-70-14
53% 83-74-5
55% 81-66-14
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 1 hour, 37 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 7 hours, 26 minutes ago
Trump Surprises Clemens with Medal of Freedom Announcement at Te…
yahoo 7 hours, 28 minutes ago
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
hawaiitribune_herald 13 hours, 33 minutes ago
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
headtopics 19 hours, 37 minutes ago