CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
47-46 | Road
5
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
46-47 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Slade Cecconi
#44 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Connor Prielipp
#61 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slade Cecconi | 4-6 | 4.55 | 1.40 | 3.2 | 4 |
| Connor Prielipp | 2-5 | 5.00 | 1.38 | 5.0 | 6 |
4-6
W-L
2-5
4.55 Ldr
ERA
5.00
1.40
WHIP
Ldr 1.38
3.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 5.0
4
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 6
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
38%
TWINS
62%
GUARDIANS
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
49%
Under 0
51%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIN -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
CLE By 1-2 runs
15.0%
CLE By 3-4 runs
9.2%
MIN By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIN By 3-4 runs
17.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
3.5
CLEVELAND
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Cleveland
4
CLEVELAND
Minnesota
6
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Twins
Win
62% Win Prob
C
Sim
Twins
Win
69% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Twins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim
Twins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.5
D
Sim
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
CLE @ MIN
9 - 2
Sep 12, 2026
CLE @ MIN
3 - 4
Sep 11, 2026
CLE @ MIN
5 - 2
Jul 23, 2026
MIN @ CLE
3 - 1
Jul 22, 2026
MIN @ CLE
10 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Minnesota
MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.19
Runs / Game
▲
4.56
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.696
OPS
▲
.720
162
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+39.4% more
Minnesota: 9.8
vs
Cleveland: 7.0
Total Bases (L5)
+39.2% more
Minnesota: 16.6
vs
Cleveland: 11.9
Home Runs (Season)
+15.4% more
Minnesota: 187.0
vs
Cleveland: 162.0
Home Runs (L5)
+12.5% more
Minnesota: 1.4
vs
Cleveland: 1.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
3.5
5
MIN Score
5.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.9
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.8 / 7.0
11.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 1.2
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.9 / 8.8
7.0 / 13.0
Total Bases
16.6 / 11.9
13.0 / 14.0
Walks
3.1 / 3.0
8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CLE
MIN
CLE
ML
52%
84-78
54%
87-74
50%
80-81
49%
80-82
ATS
59%
95-67
58%
93-68
59%
95-66
59%
95-67
TTL
51%
78-75-9
55%
88-71-2
53%
80-72-9
43%
69-90-2
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