BOSTON
RED SOXBOS
42-48 | Road
5
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
47-44 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jake Bennett
#64 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Davis Martin
#65 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Bennett | 3-3 | 2.64 | 0.98 | 7.0 | 4 |
| Davis Martin | 9-3 | 3.41 | 1.26 | 4.0 | 2 |
3-3
W-L
9-3
2.64 Ldr
ERA
3.41
0.98 Ldr
WHIP
1.26
7.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
4.0
4 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
RED SOX
33%
WHITE SOX
67%
RED SOX
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
48%
Under 0
52%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHW -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
BOS By 1-2 runs
13.6%
BOS By 3-4 runs
7.8%
CHW By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
White Sox
Loss
67% Win Prob
B
Sim
White Sox
Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
White Sox (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
White Sox (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim
u8.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 6, 2026
CHW @ BOS
11 - 12
Aug 5, 2026
CHW @ BOS
0 - 4
Aug 4, 2026
CHW @ BOS
2 - 14
Jul 9, 2026
BOS @ CHW
2 - 1
Jul 8, 2026
BOS @ CHW
5 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Boston
BOS
vs
Chicago
CHW
2
▲
Games Played
1
1.00
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.117
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.159
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.250
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.409
OPS
▲
.826
2
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+500.0% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Boston: 1.0
OPS (Season)
+41.7%
Chicago: 82.6%
vs
Boston: 40.9%
Errors (L5)
+29.0% more
Chicago: 0.3
vs
Boston: 0.1
On-Base Pct (Season)
+25.6%
Chicago: 41.5%
vs
Boston: 15.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
3.0
5
CHW Score
5.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.1
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.0 / 9.5
4.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 1.6
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
10.3 / 9.5
6.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
11.7 / 16.5
4.0 / 13.0
Walks
3.2 / 4.1
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
87-77-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
74-86-4
O: 46.3% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: 0.0
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
BOS
CHW
BOS
ML
49%
81-86
50%
80-80
56%
94-73
47%
76-87
ATS
59%
99-68
58%
93-67
56%
93-74
48%
79-84
TTL
58%
96-69-2
46%
72-83-5
51%
84-81-2
47%
74-83-6
Contextual Game News
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