Home / MLB Projections MLB / Rockies @ Dodgers COL @ LAD

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

38-55  |  Road

4
FINAL
Tue, Jul 7 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

60-33  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Jordan Romano
STARTING PITCHER

Jordan Romano

#68 | Relief Pitcher
@
Evan Phillips
STARTING PITCHER

Evan Phillips

#59 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jordan Romano None-None 7.36 -- 1.0 1
Evan Phillips None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
7.36 ERA Ldr 0.00
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
59%
📊
DODGERS
41%
ROCKIES --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 66%
Under 0 34%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.9
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
RockiesCOL (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rockies Cover

41.1%

Dodgers Cover

58.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD +0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

COL By 1-2 runs

19.5%

COL By 3-4 runs

16.1%

LAD By 1-2 runs

16.6%

LAD By 3-4 runs

10.9%

AI Model Projected Score
6.1
COLORADO
5.2
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
8
COLORADO
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rockies Win
59% Win Prob
C
Sim Rockies Win
70% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Dodgers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +0.9
A
Sim Rockies (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o9.5 Loss
Proj Total: 11.3
A
Sim o9.5 Loss
Proj Total: 14.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 19, 2026 LAD @ COL 6 - 4
Aug 18, 2026 LAD @ COL 7 - 6
Aug 17, 2026 LAD @ COL 11 - 5
Jul 8, 2026 COL @ LAD 3 - 4
Jul 7, 2026 COL @ LAD 4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado COL
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.64
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.254
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.322
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.417
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.739
OPS
▲ .762
180
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +83.0% more
Colorado: 0.8 vs Los Angeles: 0.0
Home Runs (L5) +38.0% more
Colorado: 1.4 vs Los Angeles: 0.9
Walks (L5) +31.7% more
Colorado: 4.8 vs Los Angeles: 3.3
Total Bases (L5) +25.6% more
Colorado: 17.5 vs Los Angeles: 13.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 6.1 4
LAD Score 5.2 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.0 / 0.8 2.0 / 2.0
Hits 8.9 / 10.2 8.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 1.4 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.7 / 8.3 7.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 13.0 / 17.5 11.0 / 9.0
Walks 3.3 / 4.8 4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
3%MONEY97%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
95%TICKETS5%
93%MONEY7%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
COL
LAD
COL
ML
56% 92-73
60% 97-64
48% 79-87
55% 88-73
ATS
59% 98-67
60% 97-64
43% 72-94
52% 83-78
TTL
48% 77-82-6
60% 93-62-6
44% 70-90-6
50% 77-78-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 1 hour, 40 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 7 hours, 29 minutes ago
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
hawaiitribune_herald 13 hours, 36 minutes ago
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
headtopics 19 hours, 40 minutes ago
Alex Cora Joins Growing List of Unavailable Managers for Seattle…
si 1 day, 7 hours ago