CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
47-45 | Road
1
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
45-47 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Matt Festa
#52 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Yoendrys Gomez
#94 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Festa | None-None | 3.82 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Yoendrys Gomez | None-None | 3.67 | -- | 0.1 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.82
ERA
Ldr 3.67
--
WHIP
--
1.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
34%
TWINS
66%
GUARDIANS
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
37%
Under 0
63%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIN -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
CLE By 1-2 runs
14.1%
CLE By 3-4 runs
8.4%
MIN By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIN By 3-4 runs
18.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
2.6
CLEVELAND
Minnesota
4.4
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Cleveland
4
CLEVELAND
Minnesota
6
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Twins
Win
66% Win Prob
B
Sim
Twins
Win
69% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Twins (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.8
D
Sim
Twins (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
u8.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Sim
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
CLE @ MIN
9 - 2
Sep 12, 2026
CLE @ MIN
3 - 4
Sep 11, 2026
CLE @ MIN
5 - 2
Jul 23, 2026
MIN @ CLE
3 - 1
Jul 22, 2026
MIN @ CLE
10 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Minnesota
MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.19
Runs / Game
▲
4.56
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.380
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.696
OPS
▲
.720
162
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+55.4% more
Minnesota: 2.0
vs
Cleveland: 1.3
Strikeouts (L5)
+39.3% more
Minnesota: 9.3
vs
Cleveland: 6.7
Total Bases (L5)
+27.9% more
Minnesota: 18.4
vs
Cleveland: 14.4
Home Runs (Season)
+15.4% more
Minnesota: 187.0
vs
Cleveland: 162.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
2.6
1
MIN Score
4.4
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.8
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
9.7 / 9.1
10.0 / 3.0
Home Runs
2.0 / 1.3
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.3 / 6.7
8.0 / 13.0
Total Bases
18.4 / 14.4
13.0 / 7.0
Walks
3.1 / 4.0
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
87-79-0
(52.4%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
(50.6%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
81-84-1
O: 49.1% / U: 50.9%
Total +/-: +0.5
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CLE
MIN
CLE
ML
52%
84-78
54%
87-75
50%
80-81
49%
80-83
ATS
59%
95-67
57%
93-69
59%
95-66
58%
95-68
TTL
51%
78-75-9
56%
89-71-2
53%
80-72-9
44%
70-90-2
Contextual Game News
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