BOSTON
RED SOXBOS
41-48 | Road
8
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
47-43 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Garrett Whitlock
#22 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Richards
#43 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Whitlock | None-None | 2.40 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Trevor Richards | None-None | 3.51 | -- | 0.1 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.40 Ldr
ERA
3.51
--
WHIP
--
1.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
RED SOX
61%
WHITE SOX
39%
RED SOX
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
44%
Under 0
56%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.2
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW +1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
BOS By 1-2 runs
19.7%
BOS By 3-4 runs
16.8%
CHW By 1-2 runs
15.8%
CHW By 3-4 runs
10.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
4.5
BOSTON
Chicago
3.3
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Boston
4
BOSTON
Chicago
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Red Sox
Win
61% Win Prob
C
Sim
White Sox
Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
White Sox (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.2
D
Sim
White Sox (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.8
C
Sim
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 6, 2026
CHW @ BOS
11 - 12
Aug 5, 2026
CHW @ BOS
0 - 4
Aug 4, 2026
CHW @ BOS
2 - 14
Jul 9, 2026
BOS @ CHW
2 - 1
Jul 8, 2026
BOS @ CHW
5 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Boston
BOS
vs
Chicago
CHW
2
▲
Games Played
1
1.00
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.117
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.159
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.250
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.409
OPS
▲
.826
2
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+500.0% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Boston: 1.0
Errors (L5)
+44.0% more
Chicago: 0.5
vs
Boston: 0.1
Walks (L5)
+43.8% more
Chicago: 3.7
vs
Boston: 2.6
OPS (Season)
+41.7%
Chicago: 82.6%
vs
Boston: 40.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
4.5
8
CHW Score
3.3
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.5 / 8.7
4.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
1.7 / 1.4
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
10.4 / 10.2
10.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
15.6 / 14.7
4.0 / 20.0
Walks
3.7 / 2.6
2.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
87-77-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
74-86-4
O: 46.3% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: 0.0
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
BOS
CHW
BOS
ML
49%
81-86
50%
80-80
56%
94-73
47%
76-87
ATS
59%
99-68
58%
93-67
56%
93-74
48%
79-84
TTL
58%
96-69-2
46%
72-83-5
51%
84-81-2
47%
74-83-6
Contextual Game News
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