SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
47-45 | Road
5
MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
50-42 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Michael Rucker
#38 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Max Meyer
#23 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rucker | None-None | 6.23 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
| Max Meyer | None-None | 2.58 | -- | 5.0 | 4 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.23
ERA
Ldr 2.58
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 5.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 4
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
54%
MARLINS
46%
MARINERS
--
MARLINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
59%
Under 0
41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.5
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIA +0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.1%
SEA By 3-4 runs
15.0%
MIA By 1-2 runs
17.5%
MIA By 3-4 runs
12.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
4.7
SEATTLE
Miami
4.2
MIAMI
Simulated Score
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Miami
5
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Loss
54% Win Prob
D
Sim
Marlins
Win
59% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Marlins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +0.5
A
Sim
Mariners (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.9
B
Sim
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 9, 2026
SEA @ MIA
4 - 8
Jul 8, 2026
SEA @ MIA
0 - 2
Jul 7, 2026
SEA @ MIA
5 - 6
Apr 27, 2025
MIA @ SEA
6 - 7
Apr 26, 2025
MIA @ SEA
0 - 14
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Miami
MIA
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.41
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.249
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.326
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.400
.693
OPS
▲
.727
182
▲
Home Runs
168
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+7.7% more
Seattle: 182.0
vs
Miami: 168.0
Home Runs (L5)
+155.9% more
Miami: 3.0
vs
Seattle: 1.2
Total Bases (L5)
+111.5% more
Miami: 25.0
vs
Seattle: 11.8
Hits (L5)
+79.0% more
Miami: 12.8
vs
Seattle: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
4.7
5
MIA Score
4.2
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.5
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
12.8 / 7.1
11.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
3.0 / 1.2
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.3 / 7.0
8.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
25.0 / 11.8
18.0 / 14.0
Walks
2.8 / 1.6
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
MIA
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
MIA
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
SEA
MIA
SEA
ML
48%
78-84
50%
81-81
55%
88-72
52%
85-77
ATS
56%
91-71
60%
98-64
54%
86-74
59%
95-67
TTL
56%
88-69-5
56%
85-67-10
53%
82-73-5
53%
81-71-10
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