Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Rockies SF @ COL

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

35-48  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sat, Jul 4 • 8:10 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

33-51  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Dylan Smith
STARTING PITCHER

Dylan Smith

#66 | Relief Pitcher
@
Jordan Romano
STARTING PITCHER

Jordan Romano

#68 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Dylan Smith None-None 1.69 -- 1.0 --
Jordan Romano None-None 9.00 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
1.69 Ldr ERA 9.00
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
43%
📊
ROCKIES
57%
GIANTS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 45%
Under 0 55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Colorado)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

43.1%

Rockies Cover

56.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around COL -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)

SF By 1-2 runs

17.0%

SF By 3-4 runs

11.5%

COL By 1-2 runs

19.4%

COL By 3-4 runs

15.5%

AI Model Projected Score
5.3
SAN FRANCISCO
6
COLORADO
Simulated Score
4
SAN FRANCISCO
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rockies Loss
57% Win Prob
D
Sim Rockies Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Rockies (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.7
A
Sim Rockies (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u12.5 Win
Proj Total: 11.3
C
Sim u12.5 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 16, 2026 COL @ SF 13 - 7
Aug 15, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 7
Aug 14, 2026 COL @ SF 5 - 2
Jul 12, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 3
Jul 11, 2026 COL @ SF 2 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲ 4.64
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .254
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .322
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .417
.706
OPS
▲ .739
178
Home Runs
▲ 180
Key Model Drivers
Total Bases (L5) +72.2% more
Colorado: 23.7 vs San Francisco: 13.8
Home Runs (L5) +65.9% more
Colorado: 2.2 vs San Francisco: 1.4
Hits (L5) +55.4% more
Colorado: 12.6 vs San Francisco: 8.1
Errors (L5) +27.0% more
Colorado: 0.9 vs San Francisco: 0.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 5.3 6
COL Score 6.0 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.9 / 0.7 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 12.6 / 8.1 7.0 / 14.0
Home Runs 2.2 / 1.4 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 7.0 / 6.4 8.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 23.7 / 13.8 10.0 / 24.0
Walks 2.6 / 4.6 3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
84%MONEY16%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
SF
COL
SF
ML
60% 97-64
49% 79-81
55% 88-73
53% 85-75
ATS
60% 97-64
62% 100-60
52% 83-78
52% 83-77
TTL
60% 93-62-6
55% 82-68-10
50% 77-78-6
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Nick Martinez's Journey from Ejection at Yankee Stadium to ALCS …
yourvalley_net 1 day, 12 hours ago
Yankees' Cam Schlittler Transforms Curveball into Lethal Weapon,…
yahoo 2 days, 18 hours ago
Phillies' Wild Card Collapse: Bullpen Blunders, Painter's Promis…
yahoo 3 days, 5 hours ago
White Sox Turn to Anthony Kay as Opener for Game 2, Aiming to St…
si 3 days, 18 hours ago
Giants Defy Odds: Harbaugh Applauds Resilience After Dramatic Wi…
sny 4 days ago