CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
43-39 | Road
3
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
44-40 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Taylor
#31 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Matt Festa
#52 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Taylor | None-None | 2.96 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Matt Festa | None-None | 3.93 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.96 Ldr
ERA
3.93
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
49%
GUARDIANS
51%
WHITE SOX
--
GUARDIANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
37%
Under 0
63%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CLE -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CHW By 1-2 runs
18.3%
CHW By 3-4 runs
13.3%
CLE By 1-2 runs
18.6%
CLE By 3-4 runs
13.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
2.9
CHICAGO
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Cleveland
5
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Guardians
Loss
51% Win Prob
D
Sim
Guardians
Loss
59% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Guardians (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.1
A
Sim
White Sox (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
u8.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.9
B
Sim
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 7, 2026
CLE @ CHW
9 - 3
Oct 5, 2026
CHW @ CLE
4 - 3
Oct 3, 2026
CHW @ CLE
3 - 0
Sep 16, 2026
CHW @ CLE
3 - 6
Sep 15, 2026
CHW @ CLE
6 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Cleveland
CLE
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.19
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.380
.826
▲
OPS
.696
1
Home Runs
▲
162
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+16100.0% more
Cleveland: 162.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Errors (L5)
+33.0% more
Cleveland: 0.7
vs
Chicago: 0.4
Walks (L5)
+55.0% more
Chicago: 5.7
vs
Cleveland: 2.6
Runs per Game (Season)
+30.2% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Cleveland: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
2.9
3
CLE Score
3.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.4
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.9 / 7.9
7.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.1
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.6 / 9.7
7.0 / 14.0
Total Bases
12.1 / 13.3
12.0 / 15.0
Walks
2.6 / 5.7
4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
CHW
CLE
CHW
ML
54%
87-74
49%
81-86
49%
80-82
56%
94-73
ATS
58%
93-68
59%
99-68
59%
95-67
56%
93-74
TTL
55%
88-71-2
58%
96-69-2
43%
69-90-2
51%
84-81-2
Contextual Game News
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Trump to Honor Roger Clemens with Presidential Medal of Freedom
Trump Surprises Clemens with Medal of Freedom Announcement at Te…
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …