BOSTON
RED SOXBOS
36-46 | Road
5
LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
36-49 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jake Bennett
#64 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Reid Detmers
#48 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Bennett | 1-3 | 3.10 | 1.13 | 7.2 | 6 |
| Reid Detmers | 3-5 | 4.13 | 1.05 | 5.0 | 5 |
1-3
W-L
3-5
3.10 Ldr
ERA
4.13
1.13
WHIP
Ldr 1.05
7.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
5.0
6 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
5
AI Model Win Probability
RED SOX
48%
ANGELS
52%
RED SOX
--
ANGELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
59%
Under 0
41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
BOS By 1-2 runs
17.9%
BOS By 3-4 runs
12.7%
LAA By 1-2 runs
18.9%
LAA By 3-4 runs
14.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
4
BOSTON
Los Angeles
4.3
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Angels
Loss
52% Win Prob
D
Sim
Angels
Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Angels (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.3
A
Sim
Angels (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.3
B
Sim
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 9, 2026
LAA @ BOS
6 - 4
Sep 8, 2026
LAA @ BOS
6 - 1
Sep 7, 2026
LAA @ BOS
2 - 5
Jul 5, 2026
BOS @ LAA
7 - 5
Jul 4, 2026
BOS @ LAA
8 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Boston
BOS
vs
Los Angeles
LAA
2
Games Played
▲
162
1.00
Runs / Game
▲
4.04
.117
Avg (AVG)
▲
.234
.159
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.310
.250
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.369
.409
OPS
▲
.679
2
Home Runs
▲
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+7600.0% more
Los Angeles: 154.0
vs
Boston: 2.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+304.0% more
Los Angeles: 4.0
vs
Boston: 1.0
Errors (L5)
+35.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.6
vs
Boston: 0.3
OPS (Season)
+27.0%
Los Angeles: 67.9%
vs
Boston: 40.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
4.0
5
LAA Score
4.3
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.3
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.3 / 7.4
7.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
0.4 / 0.6
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.9 / 9.6
10.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
8.5 / 10.8
10.0 / 18.0
Walks
3.3 / 5.4
3.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
87-77-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
74-86-4
O: 46.3% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: 0.0
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
BOS
LAA
BOS
ML
59%
96-66
50%
80-80
55%
89-73
47%
76-87
ATS
60%
97-65
58%
93-67
51%
82-80
48%
79-84
TTL
53%
83-74-5
46%
72-83-5
52%
82-75-5
47%
74-83-6
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