Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Rockies SF @ COL

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

35-48  |  Road

3
FINAL
Fri, Jul 3 • 8:10 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

33-51  |  Home

15
Probable Pitchers
Logan Webb
STARTING PITCHER

Logan Webb

#62 | Starting Pitcher
@
Ryan Feltner
STARTING PITCHER

Ryan Feltner

#18 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Logan Webb 4-5 3.66 1.12 3.0 2
Ryan Feltner 2-2 4.27 1.30 6.0 9
4-5 W-L 2-2
3.66 Ldr ERA 4.27
1.12 Ldr WHIP 1.30
3.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 6.0
2 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 9
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
37%
📊
ROCKIES
63%
GIANTS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 45%
Under 0 55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Colorado)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

36.3%

Rockies Cover

63.7%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around COL -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)

SF By 1-2 runs

15.3%

SF By 3-4 runs

9.5%

COL By 1-2 runs

19.7%

COL By 3-4 runs

17.2%

AI Model Projected Score
4.8
SAN FRANCISCO
6.2
COLORADO
Simulated Score
5
SAN FRANCISCO
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rockies Win
63% Win Prob
C
Sim Rockies Win
59% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Rockies (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.4
A
Sim Rockies (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u11.5 Loss
Proj Total: 11.0
C
Sim u11.5 Loss
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 16, 2026 COL @ SF 13 - 7
Aug 15, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 7
Aug 14, 2026 COL @ SF 5 - 2
Jul 12, 2026 COL @ SF 1 - 3
Jul 11, 2026 COL @ SF 2 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Colorado COL
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲ 4.64
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .254
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .322
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .417
.706
OPS
▲ .739
178
Home Runs
▲ 180
Key Model Drivers
Total Bases (L5) +26.8% more
Colorado: 18.6 vs San Francisco: 14.7
Home Runs (L5) +22.2% more
Colorado: 1.9 vs San Francisco: 1.5
Hits (L5) +21.1% more
Colorado: 9.9 vs San Francisco: 8.2
Runs per Game (Season) +12.3% more
Colorado: 4.6 vs San Francisco: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 4.8 3
COL Score 6.2 15
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 1.0 2.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.9 / 8.2 18.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.9 / 1.5 3.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 5.5 / 6.6 10.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 18.6 / 14.7 34.0 / 12.0
Walks 3.4 / 3.4 1.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
76%MONEY24%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
90%MONEY10%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
SF
COL
SF
ML
60% 97-64
49% 79-81
55% 88-73
53% 85-75
ATS
60% 97-64
62% 100-60
52% 83-78
52% 83-77
TTL
60% 93-62-6
55% 82-68-10
50% 77-78-6
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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