MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
40-45 | Road
2
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
48-35 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Kody Funderburk
#57 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Gerrit Cole
#45 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kody Funderburk | None-None | 4.43 | -- | 2.0 | 2 |
| Gerrit Cole | 2-2 | 4.01 | 1.18 | 5.0 | 7 |
None-None
W-L
2-2
4.43
ERA
Ldr 4.01
--
WHIP
1.18
2.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 5.0
2
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 7
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
33%
YANKEES
67%
TWINS
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
MIN By 1-2 runs
13.9%
MIN By 3-4 runs
8.1%
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.6%
NYY By 3-4 runs
18.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
4.3
MINNESOTA
New York
6.2
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Yankees
Win
67% Win Prob
B
Sim
Yankees
Win
59% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Yankees (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.9
D
Sim
Twins (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o10.0
Loss
Proj Total: 10.5
C
Sim
u10.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 16, 2026
NYY @ MIN
4 - 5
Sep 15, 2026
NYY @ MIN
8 - 1
Sep 14, 2026
NYY @ MIN
8 - 3
Jul 5, 2026
MIN @ NYY
6 - 1
Jul 4, 2026
MIN @ NYY
11 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota
MIN
vs
New York
NYY
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.56
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.720
OPS
▲
1.041
187
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+97.4% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Minnesota: 4.6
Errors (L5)
+76.0% more
New York: 1.5
vs
Minnesota: 0.7
Slugging Pct (Season)
+19.1%
New York: 59.4%
vs
Minnesota: 40.3%
Batting Avg (Season)
+13.0%
New York: 37.5%
vs
Minnesota: 24.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
4.3
2
NYY Score
6.2
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.5 / 0.7
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.0 / 8.0
6.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.8
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.7 / 10.3
14.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
8.5 / 14.8
13.0 / 12.0
Walks
2.8 / 3.3
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
MIN
NYY
MIN
ML
47%
76-85
52%
84-78
52%
85-77
50%
80-81
ATS
59%
95-66
59%
95-67
53%
86-76
59%
95-66
TTL
53%
81-73-7
51%
78-75-9
53%
82-72-7
53%
80-72-9
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