Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Mariners LAA @ SEA

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

62-100  |  Road

0
FINAL
Thu, Jul 2 • 9:40 PM ET
T-Mobile Park
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

MARINERSSEA

76-86  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Sam Bachman
STARTING PITCHER

Sam Bachman

#40 | Relief Pitcher
@
Andres Munoz
STARTING PITCHER

Andres Munoz

#75 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Sam Bachman None-None 3.26 -- 1.0 1
Andres Munoz None-None 4.60 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
3.26 Ldr ERA 4.60
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
44%
📊
MARINERS
56%
ANGELS --
MARINERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 66%
Under 0 34%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Seattle)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 MarinersSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

43.1%

Mariners Cover

56.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

LAA By 1-2 runs

17.0%

LAA By 3-4 runs

11.5%

SEA By 1-2 runs

19.4%

SEA By 3-4 runs

15.5%

AI Model Projected Score
3.9
LOS ANGELES
4.6
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
6
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mariners Win
56% Win Prob
D
Sim Mariners Win
69% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mariners (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -0.7
C
Sim Mariners (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o7.5 Loss
Proj Total: 8.5
A
Sim o7.5 Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2026 LAA @ SEA 3 - 7
Sep 26, 2026 LAA @ SEA 4 - 8
Sep 25, 2026 LAA @ SEA 7 - 5
Sep 24, 2026 LAA @ SEA 6 - 4
Sep 16, 2026 SEA @ LAA 7 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Seattle SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.10
.234 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .314
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .379
.679
OPS
▲ .693
154
Home Runs
▲ 182
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +28.0% more
Seattle: 0.7 vs Los Angeles: 0.4
Home Runs (L5) +28.0% more
Seattle: 0.9 vs Los Angeles: 0.6
Hits (L5) +27.6% more
Seattle: 9.6 vs Los Angeles: 7.5
Total Bases (L5) +21.9% more
Seattle: 13.1 vs Los Angeles: 10.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 3.9 0
SEA Score 4.6 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.4 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 9.6 / 7.5 2.0 / 4.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 0.6 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.5 / 11.3 10.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 13.1 / 10.7 3.0 / 4.0
Walks 2.7 / 2.9 1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
SEA Advantage
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
LAA
SEA
LAA
ML
50% 81-81
59% 96-66
52% 85-77
55% 89-73
ATS
60% 98-64
60% 97-65
59% 95-67
51% 82-80
TTL
56% 85-67-10
53% 83-74-5
53% 81-71-10
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
si 1 hour, 20 minutes ago
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 1 hour, 37 minutes ago
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
yardbarker 1 hour, 38 minutes ago
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
yahoo 7 hours, 16 minutes ago
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …
yahoo 7 hours, 25 minutes ago