DETROIT
TIGERSDET
76-86 | Road
4
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
80-82 | Home
10
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Framber Valdez
#59 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Cole Winn
#60 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez | 4-5 | 4.29 | 1.33 | 5.0 | 1 |
| Cole Winn | None-None | 7.07 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
4-5
W-L
None-None
4.29 Ldr
ERA
7.07
1.33
WHIP
--
5.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
53%
RANGERS
47%
TIGERS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
75%
Under 0
25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.4
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX +0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
DET By 1-2 runs
19.0%
DET By 3-4 runs
14.7%
TEX By 1-2 runs
17.7%
TEX By 3-4 runs
12.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
5.4
DETROIT
Texas
5
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Texas
6
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Loss
53% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Win
69% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +0.4
A
Sim
Rangers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.4
A
Sim
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 5, 2026
DET @ TEX
6 - 3
Jul 4, 2026
DET @ TEX
3 - 0
Jul 2, 2026
DET @ TEX
4 - 10
May 3, 2026
TEX @ DET
1 - 7
May 2, 2026
TEX @ DET
1 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit
DET
vs
Texas
TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.46
▲
Runs / Game
4.15
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲
.242
.320
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.400
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.720
▲
OPS
.713
181
Home Runs
▲
183
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+40.6% more
Detroit: 2.0
vs
Texas: 1.2
Walks (L5)
+29.0% more
Detroit: 1.8
vs
Texas: 1.3
Strikeouts (L5)
+19.8% more
Detroit: 11.1
vs
Texas: 8.9
Total Bases (L5)
+16.5% more
Detroit: 15.9
vs
Texas: 13.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
5.4
4
TEX Score
5.0
10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.6
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.3 / 8.6
17.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 2.0
3.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.9 / 11.1
14.0 / 3.0
Total Bases
13.3 / 15.9
28.0 / 20.0
Walks
1.3 / 1.8
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
DET
TEX
DET
ML
53%
86-76
54%
86-73
57%
91-70
54%
87-73
ATS
57%
92-70
64%
101-58
61%
98-63
57%
91-69
TTL
53%
78-70-14
46%
69-81-9
55%
81-66-14
46%
69-81-10
Contextual Game News
Trump Surprises Clemens with Medal of Freedom Announcement at Te…
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
LSU's Defense Dominates Early, But Real Test Awaits
Diamondbacks Honor Virahonda and Hagaman as Top Minor Leaguers A…
Dodgers Predicted to Re-Sign $32M Ace Tarik Skubal, Keeping Rota…