CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
84-78 | Road
5
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
85-77 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Davis Martin
#65 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Slade Cecconi
#44 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Martin | 9-3 | 3.08 | 1.20 | 3.1 | -- |
| Slade Cecconi | 3-6 | 4.44 | 1.40 | 5.0 | 3 |
9-3
W-L
3-6
3.08 Ldr
ERA
4.44
1.20 Ldr
WHIP
1.40
3.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 5.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
53%
GUARDIANS
47%
WHITE SOX
--
GUARDIANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
26%
Under 0
74%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.3
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CLE +0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CHW By 1-2 runs
18.9%
CHW By 3-4 runs
14.4%
CLE By 1-2 runs
17.9%
CLE By 3-4 runs
12.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
2.8
CHICAGO
Cleveland
2.5
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Cleveland
5
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
White Sox
Loss
53% Win Prob
D
Sim
Guardians
Win
69% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Guardians (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +0.3
B
Sim
Guardians (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.3
A
Sim
u8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 7, 2026
CLE @ CHW
9 - 3
Oct 5, 2026
CHW @ CLE
4 - 3
Oct 3, 2026
CHW @ CLE
3 - 0
Sep 16, 2026
CHW @ CLE
3 - 6
Sep 15, 2026
CHW @ CLE
6 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Cleveland
CLE
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.19
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.380
.826
▲
OPS
.696
1
Home Runs
▲
162
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+30.2% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Cleveland: 4.2
Walks (L5)
+28.2% more
Chicago: 4.5
vs
Cleveland: 3.2
Strikeouts (L5)
+20.0% more
Chicago: 10.0
vs
Cleveland: 8.0
OPS (Season)
+13.0%
Chicago: 82.6%
vs
Cleveland: 69.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
2.8
5
CLE Score
2.5
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.2
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.7 / 8.3
9.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 1.2
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.0 / 10.0
6.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
14.1 / 14.2
17.0 / 18.0
Walks
3.2 / 4.5
2.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
CHW
CLE
CHW
ML
54%
87-74
49%
81-86
49%
80-82
56%
94-73
ATS
58%
93-68
59%
99-68
59%
95-67
56%
93-74
TTL
55%
88-71-2
58%
96-69-2
43%
69-90-2
51%
84-81-2
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