CINCINNATI
REDSCIN
75-87 | Road
7
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
103-59 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Chase Burns
#26 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Anderson
#56 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Burns | 9-1 | 2.40 | 1.05 | 6.0 | 4 |
| Grant Anderson | None-None | 3.53 | -- | 1.2 | 2 |
9-1
W-L
None-None
2.40 Ldr
ERA
3.53
1.05
WHIP
--
6.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.2
4 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
REDS
38%
BREWERS
62%
REDS
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
81%
Under 0
19%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
CIN By 1-2 runs
15.5%
CIN By 3-4 runs
9.8%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIL By 3-4 runs
17.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Cincinnati
4.7
CINCINNATI
Milwaukee
6
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Cincinnati
5
CINCINNATI
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Loss
62% Win Prob
C
Sim
Reds
Win
70% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.3
D
Sim
Reds (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o7.0
Win
Proj Total: 10.7
A
Sim
o7.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
CIN @ MIL
4 - 3
Sep 12, 2026
CIN @ MIL
9 - 13
Sep 11, 2026
CIN @ MIL
0 - 20
Sep 6, 2026
MIL @ CIN
8 - 12
Sep 5, 2026
MIL @ CIN
3 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Cincinnati
CIN
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.11
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.229
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.305
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.394
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.699
OPS
▲
.743
213
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+25.9% more
Milwaukee: 10.2
vs
Cincinnati: 8.1
Runs per Game (Season)
+25.1% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Cincinnati: 4.1
Total Bases (L5)
+24.0% more
Milwaukee: 15.8
vs
Cincinnati: 12.7
Hits (L5)
+20.7% more
Milwaukee: 9.3
vs
Cincinnati: 7.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CIN Score
4.7
7
MIL Score
6.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 1.0
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
9.3 / 7.7
4.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 0.9
1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
10.2 / 8.1
13.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
15.8 / 12.7
8.0 / 20.0
Walks
2.5 / 5.1
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN
75-87-0
(46.3%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN
(50.6%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
84-74-4
O: 53.2% / U: 46.8%
Total +/-: +0.5
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
CIN
MIL
CIN
ML
62%
101-61
55%
88-71
52%
84-78
49%
79-81
ATS
58%
94-68
54%
86-73
48%
78-84
50%
80-80
TTL
40%
62-92-8
53%
81-73-5
50%
77-77-8
54%
83-72-5
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