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LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

100-62  |  Road

1
FINAL
Wed, Jul 1 • 9:40 PM ET
Sutter Health Park
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

64-98  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
Jack Dreyer
STARTING PITCHER

Jack Dreyer

#86 | Relief Pitcher
@
Hogan Harris
STARTING PITCHER

Hogan Harris

#36 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jack Dreyer None-None 3.41 -- 1.0 3
Hogan Harris None-None 3.46 -- 1.1 4
None-None W-L None-None
3.41 Ldr ERA 3.46
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.1
3 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 4
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
52%
📊
ATHLETICS
48%
DODGERS --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 62%
Under 0 38%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.1
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

49.0%

Athletics Cover

51.0%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH +0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)

LAD By 1-2 runs

18.6%

LAD By 3-4 runs

13.9%

ATH By 1-2 runs

18.3%

ATH By 3-4 runs

13.3%

AI Model Projected Score
6.2
LOS ANGELES
6.1
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
5
LOS ANGELES
3
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dodgers Loss
52% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Athletics (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +0.1
B
Sim Dodgers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o10.5 Loss
Proj Total: 12.3
B
Sim u10.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 1, 2026 LAD @ ATH 1 - 7
Jun 30, 2026 LAD @ ATH 9 - 3
Jun 29, 2026 LAD @ ATH 9 - 4
May 15, 2025 ATH @ LAD 2 - 19
May 14, 2025 ATH @ LAD 3 - 9
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Athletics ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.762 ▲
OPS
.719
204 ▲
Home Runs
194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +59.8% more
Los Angeles: 1.8 vs Athletics: 0.7
Total Bases (L5) +45.6% more
Los Angeles: 20.1 vs Athletics: 11.0
Hits (L5) +37.6% more
Los Angeles: 12.7 vs Athletics: 7.9
Strikeouts (L5) +31.7% more
Los Angeles: 10.1 vs Athletics: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 6.2 1
ATH Score 6.1 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.0 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.9 / 12.7 12.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 0.7 / 1.8 3.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 6.9 / 10.1 11.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 11.0 / 20.1 23.0 / 10.0
Walks 3.1 / 2.9 6.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
92%MONEY8%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
99%TICKETS1%
95%MONEY5%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
ATH Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
LAD
ATH
LAD
ML
59% 95-67
56% 92-73
54% 87-74
48% 79-87
ATS
52% 84-78
59% 98-67
50% 81-80
43% 72-94
TTL
54% 84-73-5
48% 77-82-6
42% 66-90-5
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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