CINCINNATI
REDSCIN
75-87 | Road
2
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
103-59 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andrew Abbott
#41 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Megill
#29 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott | 5-4 | 3.88 | 1.42 | 5.0 | 3 |
| Trevor Megill | None-None | 3.27 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
5-4
W-L
None-None
3.88
ERA
Ldr 3.27
1.42
WHIP
--
5.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
REDS
44%
BREWERS
56%
REDS
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
66%
Under 0
34%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
CIN By 1-2 runs
17.0%
CIN By 3-4 runs
11.5%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.4%
MIL By 3-4 runs
15.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Cincinnati
5.1
CINCINNATI
Milwaukee
5.8
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Cincinnati
5
CINCINNATI
Milwaukee
4
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Win
56% Win Prob
D
Sim
Reds
Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.7
C
Sim
Reds (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.9
A
Sim
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
CIN @ MIL
4 - 3
Sep 12, 2026
CIN @ MIL
9 - 13
Sep 11, 2026
CIN @ MIL
0 - 20
Sep 6, 2026
MIL @ CIN
8 - 12
Sep 5, 2026
MIL @ CIN
3 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Cincinnati
CIN
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.11
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.229
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.305
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.394
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.699
OPS
▲
.743
213
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+71.0% more
Milwaukee: 1.6
vs
Cincinnati: 0.9
Total Bases (L5)
+32.5% more
Milwaukee: 16.7
vs
Cincinnati: 12.6
Hits (L5)
+31.6% more
Milwaukee: 10.0
vs
Cincinnati: 7.6
Runs per Game (Season)
+25.1% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Cincinnati: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CIN Score
5.1
2
MIL Score
5.8
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.5
0.0 / 2.0
Hits
10.0 / 7.6
8.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 0.9
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.2 / 10.1
10.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
16.7 / 12.6
14.0 / 13.0
Walks
3.3 / 4.1
1.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN
75-87-0
(46.3%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN
(50.6%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
84-74-4
O: 53.2% / U: 46.8%
Total +/-: +0.5
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
CIN
MIL
CIN
ML
62%
101-61
55%
88-71
52%
84-78
49%
79-81
ATS
58%
94-68
54%
86-73
48%
78-84
50%
80-80
TTL
40%
62-92-8
53%
81-73-5
50%
77-77-8
54%
83-72-5
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…