DETROIT
TIGERSDET
76-86 | Road
6
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
93-68 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Keider Montero
#54 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Will Warren
#29 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keider Montero | 3-5 | 3.31 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 3 |
| Will Warren | 7-2 | 3.73 | 1.33 | 5.1 | 7 |
3-5
W-L
7-2
3.31 Ldr
ERA
3.73
1.00 Ldr
WHIP
1.33
2.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 5.1
3
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 7
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
46%
YANKEES
54%
TIGERS
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
68%
Under 0
32%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
DET By 1-2 runs
17.5%
DET By 3-4 runs
12.1%
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.1%
NYY By 3-4 runs
15.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
5.5
DETROIT
New York
6
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Detroit
6
DETROIT
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Yankees
Loss
54% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
70% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Yankees (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.5
B
Sim
Tigers (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o9.5
Loss
Proj Total: 11.5
A
Sim
o9.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 1, 2026
DET @ NYY
6 - 2
Jun 30, 2026
DET @ NYY
9 - 3
Jun 29, 2026
DET @ NYY
7 - 3
Jun 24, 2026
NYY @ DET
4 - 2
Jun 23, 2026
NYY @ DET
4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit
DET
vs
New York
NYY
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.46
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.320
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.720
OPS
▲
1.041
181
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+101.8% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Detroit: 4.5
Errors (L5)
+37.0% more
New York: 1.2
vs
Detroit: 0.8
Walks (L5)
+27.0% more
New York: 2.2
vs
Detroit: 1.7
Slugging Pct (Season)
+19.4%
New York: 59.4%
vs
Detroit: 40.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
5.5
6
NYY Score
6.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.2 / 0.8
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
4.0 / 9.9
7.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 2.5
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 10.6
10.0 / 12.0
Total Bases
7.2 / 18.9
11.0 / 10.0
Walks
2.2 / 1.7
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
DET
NYY
DET
ML
47%
76-85
54%
86-73
52%
85-77
54%
87-73
ATS
59%
95-66
64%
101-58
53%
86-76
57%
91-69
TTL
53%
81-73-7
46%
69-81-9
53%
82-72-7
46%
69-81-10
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