Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ Athletics LAD @ ATH

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

100-62  |  Road

9
FINAL
Tue, Jun 30 • 9:40 PM ET
Sutter Health Park
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

64-98  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Justin Wrobleski
STARTING PITCHER

Justin Wrobleski

#70 | Starting Pitcher
@
Jeffrey Springs
STARTING PITCHER

Jeffrey Springs

#59 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Justin Wrobleski 9-2 2.80 1.01 7.0 11
Jeffrey Springs 3-7 5.79 1.33 5.1 2
9-2 W-L 3-7
2.80 Ldr ERA 5.79
1.01 Ldr WHIP 1.33
7.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 5.1
11 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
55%
📊
ATHLETICS
45%
DODGERS --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 66%
Under 0 34%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.5
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

45.0%

Athletics Cover

55.0%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH +0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.1%

LAD By 3-4 runs

15.0%

ATH By 1-2 runs

17.5%

ATH By 3-4 runs

12.1%

AI Model Projected Score
6.7
LOS ANGELES
6.2
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
5
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dodgers Win
55% Win Prob
D
Sim Athletics Loss
59% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Athletics (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: +0.5
B
Sim Athletics (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o11.0 Win
Proj Total: 12.9
A
Sim u11.0 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 1, 2026 LAD @ ATH 1 - 7
Jun 30, 2026 LAD @ ATH 9 - 3
Jun 29, 2026 LAD @ ATH 9 - 4
May 15, 2025 ATH @ LAD 2 - 19
May 14, 2025 ATH @ LAD 3 - 9
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Athletics ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.762 ▲
OPS
.719
204 ▲
Home Runs
194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +65.3% more
Los Angeles: 1.8 vs Athletics: 0.6
Walks (L5) +43.9% more
Los Angeles: 3.9 vs Athletics: 2.2
Total Bases (L5) +42.9% more
Los Angeles: 19.2 vs Athletics: 11.0
Hits (L5) +30.2% more
Los Angeles: 12.0 vs Athletics: 8.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 6.7 9
ATH Score 6.2 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.0 / 0.1 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.4 / 12.0 7.0 / 14.0
Home Runs 0.6 / 1.8 1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 8.9 / 7.7 3.0 / 15.0
Total Bases 11.0 / 19.2 11.0 / 22.0
Walks 2.2 / 3.9 5.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
94%TICKETS6%
94%MONEY6%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
94%MONEY6%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
ATH Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
LAD
ATH
LAD
ML
59% 95-67
56% 92-73
54% 87-74
48% 79-87
ATS
52% 84-78
59% 98-67
50% 81-80
43% 72-94
TTL
54% 84-73-5
48% 77-82-6
42% 66-90-5
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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