DETROIT
TIGERSDET
76-86 | Road
9
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
93-68 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Holton
#87 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Cam Schlittler
#31 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Holton | None-None | 3.40 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Cam Schlittler | 8-4 | 2.08 | 0.92 | 4.0 | 5 |
None-None
W-L
8-4
3.40
ERA
Ldr 2.08
--
WHIP
0.92
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 4.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
42%
YANKEES
58%
TIGERS
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
86%
Under 0
14%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
DET By 1-2 runs
16.6%
DET By 3-4 runs
10.9%
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.5%
NYY By 3-4 runs
16.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
5.3
DETROIT
New York
6.2
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Detroit
4
DETROIT
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Yankees
Loss
58% Win Prob
C
Sim
Yankees
Loss
59% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Yankees (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.9
C
Sim
Yankees (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o7.0
Win
Proj Total: 11.5
A
Sim
o7.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 1, 2026
DET @ NYY
6 - 2
Jun 30, 2026
DET @ NYY
9 - 3
Jun 29, 2026
DET @ NYY
7 - 3
Jun 24, 2026
NYY @ DET
4 - 2
Jun 23, 2026
NYY @ DET
4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit
DET
vs
New York
NYY
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.46
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.320
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.720
OPS
▲
1.041
181
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+101.8% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Detroit: 4.5
Errors (L5)
+55.0% more
New York: 1.3
vs
Detroit: 0.7
Walks (L5)
+33.0% more
New York: 2.8
vs
Detroit: 2.1
Slugging Pct (Season)
+19.4%
New York: 59.4%
vs
Detroit: 40.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
5.3
9
NYY Score
6.2
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.3 / 0.7
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
3.9 / 9.3
4.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 1.2
1.0 / 5.0
Strikeouts
8.2 / 10.4
8.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
7.4 / 14.8
7.0 / 27.0
Walks
2.8 / 2.1
1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
DET
NYY
DET
ML
47%
76-85
54%
86-73
52%
85-77
54%
87-73
ATS
59%
95-66
64%
101-58
53%
86-76
57%
91-69
TTL
53%
81-73-7
46%
69-81-9
53%
82-72-7
46%
69-81-10
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