CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
84-78 | Road
9
BALTIMORE
ORIOLESBAL
79-82 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Erick Fedde
#47 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Rico Garcia
#50 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erick Fedde | 2-6 | 4.41 | 1.42 | 5.0 | 3 |
| Rico Garcia | None-None | 2.52 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
2-6
W-L
None-None
4.41
ERA
Ldr 2.52
1.42
WHIP
--
5.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
28%
ORIOLES
72%
WHITE SOX
--
ORIOLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
37%
Under 0
63%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.6
BALTIMORE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.6 points (Baltimore)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around BAL -2.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BAL)
CHW By 1-2 runs
11.8%
CHW By 3-4 runs
6.3%
BAL By 1-2 runs
19.0%
BAL By 3-4 runs
19.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
3.2
CHICAGO
Baltimore
5.8
BALTIMORE
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Baltimore
6
BALTIMORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Orioles
Loss
72% Win Prob
A
Sim
Orioles
Loss
77% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Orioles (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.6
B
Sim
Orioles (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
u10.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Sim
u10.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 1, 2026
CHW @ BAL
1 - 6
Jun 30, 2026
CHW @ BAL
9 - 3
Jun 29, 2026
CHW @ BAL
8 - 2
Apr 8, 2026
BAL @ CHW
5 - 3
Apr 7, 2026
BAL @ CHW
4 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Baltimore
BAL
1
Games Played
▲
161
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.826
▲
OPS
.711
1
Home Runs
▲
199
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+19800.0% more
Baltimore: 199.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Errors (L5)
+79.0% more
Baltimore: 1.2
vs
Chicago: 0.4
Walks (L5)
+8.6% more
Baltimore: 3.7
vs
Chicago: 3.4
Total Bases (L5)
+41.9% more
Chicago: 15.9
vs
Baltimore: 9.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
3.2
9
BAL Score
5.8
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.2 / 0.4
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.9 / 10.1
9.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 1.0
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
9.3 / 10.5
13.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
9.2 / 15.9
11.0 / 20.0
Walks
3.7 / 3.4
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
BAL
79-82-0
(49.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
BAL
(52.8%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
BAL
80-77-4
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BAL
CHW
BAL
CHW
ML
53%
83-73
49%
81-86
57%
90-69
56%
94-73
ATS
61%
95-60-1
59%
99-68
57%
90-68-1
56%
93-74
TTL
54%
81-70-5
58%
96-69-2
51%
78-75-6
51%
84-81-2
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