LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
54-30 | Road
9
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
40-44 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Eric Lauer
#33 | SP@
STARTING PITCHER
Gage Jump
#61 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Lauer | 3-5 | 4.84 | 1.24 | 6.0 | 2 |
| Gage Jump | 3-1 | 2.93 | 0.96 | 4.2 | 5 |
3-5
W-L
3-1
4.84
ERA
Ldr 2.93
1.24
WHIP
Ldr 0.96
6.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
4.2
2
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
35%
ATHLETICS
65%
DODGERS
--
ATHLETICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATH -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
LAD By 1-2 runs
14.1%
LAD By 3-4 runs
8.4%
ATH By 1-2 runs
19.7%
ATH By 3-4 runs
18.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
5.2
LOS ANGELES
Athletics
7
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Athletics
4
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Athletics
Loss
65% Win Prob
B
Sim
Dodgers
Win
83% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Athletics (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.8
A
Sim
Dodgers (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o10.5
Win
Proj Total: 12.2
A
Sim
o10.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 1, 2026
LAD @ ATH
1 - 7
Jun 30, 2026
LAD @ ATH
9 - 3
Jun 29, 2026
LAD @ ATH
9 - 4
May 15, 2025
ATH @ LAD
2 - 19
May 14, 2025
ATH @ LAD
3 - 9
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Athletics
ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.762
▲
OPS
.719
204
▲
Home Runs
194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+63.2% more
Los Angeles: 1.1
vs
Athletics: 0.4
Walks (L5)
+47.5% more
Los Angeles: 4.3
vs
Athletics: 2.2
Total Bases (L5)
+41.7% more
Los Angeles: 15.3
vs
Athletics: 8.9
Hits (L5)
+25.8% more
Los Angeles: 9.6
vs
Athletics: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
5.2
9
ATH Score
7.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.0 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.1 / 9.6
11.0 / 17.0
Home Runs
0.4 / 1.1
1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.3 / 8.0
10.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
8.9 / 15.3
15.0 / 27.0
Walks
2.2 / 4.3
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
LAD
ATH
LAD
ML
59%
95-67
56%
92-73
54%
87-74
48%
79-87
ATS
52%
84-78
59%
98-67
50%
81-80
43%
72-94
TTL
54%
84-73-5
48%
77-82-6
42%
66-90-5
44%
70-90-6
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