CINCINNATI
REDSCIN
39-43 | Road
3
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
50-31 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tejay Antone
#70 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Megill
#29 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tejay Antone | None-None | 2.70 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
| Trevor Megill | None-None | 3.38 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.70 Ldr
ERA
3.38
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
REDS
44%
BREWERS
56%
REDS
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
69%
Under 0
31%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
CIN By 1-2 runs
17.0%
CIN By 3-4 runs
11.5%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.4%
MIL By 3-4 runs
15.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Cincinnati
5.2
CINCINNATI
Milwaukee
5.9
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Cincinnati
6
CINCINNATI
Milwaukee
4
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Win
56% Win Prob
D
Sim
Reds
Loss
83% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.7
C
Sim
Reds (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o9.5
Loss
Proj Total: 11.1
A
Sim
o9.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
CIN @ MIL
4 - 3
Sep 12, 2026
CIN @ MIL
9 - 13
Sep 11, 2026
CIN @ MIL
0 - 20
Sep 6, 2026
MIL @ CIN
8 - 12
Sep 5, 2026
MIL @ CIN
3 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Cincinnati
CIN
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.11
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.229
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.305
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.394
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.699
OPS
▲
.743
213
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+33.0% more
Milwaukee: 1.1
vs
Cincinnati: 0.8
Runs per Game (Season)
+25.1% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Cincinnati: 4.1
Total Bases (L5)
+15.8% more
Milwaukee: 14.3
vs
Cincinnati: 12.3
Walks (L5)
+13.0% more
Milwaukee: 5.4
vs
Cincinnati: 4.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CIN Score
5.2
3
MIL Score
5.9
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.6
2.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.5 / 8.1
7.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 0.8
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.5 / 10.7
10.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
14.3 / 12.3
15.0 / 14.0
Walks
5.4 / 4.8
1.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN
75-87-0
(46.3%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN
(50.6%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
84-74-4
O: 53.2% / U: 46.8%
Total +/-: +0.5
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
CIN
MIL
CIN
ML
62%
101-61
55%
88-71
52%
84-78
49%
79-81
ATS
58%
94-68
54%
86-73
48%
78-84
50%
80-80
TTL
40%
62-92-8
53%
81-73-5
50%
77-77-8
54%
83-72-5
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