DETROIT
TIGERSDET
35-49 | Road
7
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
48-35 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Drew Anderson
#38 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Weathers
#40 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Anderson | None-None | 4.09 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Ryan Weathers | 3-5 | 4.08 | 1.14 | 1.2 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
3-5
4.09
ERA
Ldr 4.08
--
WHIP
1.14
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.2
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
44%
YANKEES
56%
TIGERS
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
79%
Under 0
21%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
DET By 1-2 runs
17.2%
DET By 3-4 runs
11.8%
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.3%
NYY By 3-4 runs
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
5.5
DETROIT
New York
6.1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Detroit
4
DETROIT
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Yankees
Loss
56% Win Prob
D
Sim
Yankees
Loss
67% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Yankees (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.6
C
Sim
Tigers (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 11.6
A
Sim
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 1, 2026
DET @ NYY
6 - 2
Jun 30, 2026
DET @ NYY
9 - 3
Jun 29, 2026
DET @ NYY
7 - 3
Jun 24, 2026
NYY @ DET
4 - 2
Jun 23, 2026
NYY @ DET
4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit
DET
vs
New York
NYY
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.46
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.320
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.720
OPS
▲
1.041
181
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+101.8% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Detroit: 4.5
Walks (L5)
+21.0% more
New York: 3.2
vs
Detroit: 2.7
Slugging Pct (Season)
+19.4%
New York: 59.4%
vs
Detroit: 40.0%
Batting Avg (Season)
+13.4%
New York: 37.5%
vs
Detroit: 24.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
5.5
7
NYY Score
6.1
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.9 / 1.1
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
4.4 / 8.5
3.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 1.8
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.8 / 9.1
9.0 / 13.0
Total Bases
7.0 / 15.2
8.0 / 14.0
Walks
3.2 / 2.7
2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
DET
NYY
DET
ML
47%
76-85
54%
86-73
52%
85-77
54%
87-73
ATS
59%
95-66
64%
101-58
53%
86-76
57%
91-69
TTL
53%
81-73-7
46%
69-81-9
53%
82-72-7
46%
69-81-10
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …
Yankees' Faithful Boo as Another Season Ends in Disappointment: …