ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
40-43 | Road
1
LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
35-49 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jose Suarez
#54 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Samy Natera Jr.
#52 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Suarez | None-None | 5.02 | -- | 2.0 | 2 |
| Samy Natera Jr. | None-None | 0.96 | -- | 1.1 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.02
ERA
Ldr 0.96
--
WHIP
--
2.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.1
2
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
45%
ANGELS
55%
ATHLETICS
--
ANGELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
ATH By 1-2 runs
17.5%
ATH By 3-4 runs
12.1%
LAA By 1-2 runs
19.1%
LAA By 3-4 runs
15.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
4.5
ATHLETICS
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Angels
Win
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Angels
Win
83% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Angels (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.5
A
Sim
Angels (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u9.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.5
D
Sim
u9.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 23, 2026
LAA @ ATH
3 - 7
Sep 22, 2026
LAA @ ATH
7 - 9
Jun 28, 2026
ATH @ LAA
1 - 4
Jun 27, 2026
ATH @ LAA
2 - 5
Jun 26, 2026
ATH @ LAA
9 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Los Angeles
LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.719
▲
OPS
.679
194
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+56.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.6
vs
Athletics: 0.0
Total Bases (L5)
+34.0% more
Los Angeles: 13.9
vs
Athletics: 10.4
Home Runs (L5)
+20.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.8
vs
Athletics: 0.6
Hits (L5)
+19.1% more
Los Angeles: 9.1
vs
Athletics: 7.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
4.5
1
LAA Score
5.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.0
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.1 / 7.6
7.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 0.6
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
11.2 / 9.9
9.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
13.9 / 10.4
10.0 / 6.0
Walks
3.4 / 2.9
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
Advantage
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
ATH
LAA
ATH
ML
59%
96-66
59%
95-67
55%
89-73
54%
87-74
ATS
60%
97-65
52%
84-78
51%
82-80
50%
81-80
TTL
53%
83-74-5
54%
84-73-5
52%
82-75-5
42%
66-90-5
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