COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
33-50 | Road
2
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
39-45 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Feltner
#18 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Connor Prielipp
#61 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Feltner | 2-2 | 4.42 | 1.30 | 6.0 | -- |
| Connor Prielipp | 2-5 | 4.96 | 1.42 | 6.0 | 10 |
2-2
W-L
2-5
4.42 Ldr
ERA
4.96
1.30 Ldr
WHIP
1.42
6.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
6.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 10
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
50%
TWINS
50%
ROCKIES
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIN -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
COL By 1-2 runs
18.3%
COL By 3-4 runs
13.3%
MIN By 1-2 runs
18.6%
MIN By 3-4 runs
13.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
4.7
COLORADO
Minnesota
4.8
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Colorado
7
COLORADO
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Twins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rockies
Loss
83% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Twins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.1
B
Sim
Rockies (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u9.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.5
C
Sim
o9.5
Loss
Proj Total: 12.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 28, 2026
COL @ MIN
2 - 3
Jun 27, 2026
COL @ MIN
8 - 5
Jun 26, 2026
COL @ MIN
8 - 9
Jul 20, 2025
MIN @ COL
7 - 1
Jul 19, 2025
MIN @ COL
6 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Minnesota
MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.64
▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.254
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.322
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.417
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.739
▲
OPS
.720
180
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+76.1% more
Minnesota: 3.8
vs
Colorado: 2.2
Strikeouts (L5)
+45.4% more
Minnesota: 7.2
vs
Colorado: 4.9
Home Runs (Season)
+3.9% more
Minnesota: 187.0
vs
Colorado: 180.0
Home Runs (L5)
+59.0% more
Colorado: 2.2
vs
Minnesota: 0.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
4.7
2
MIN Score
4.8
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.3
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
10.2 / 11.1
8.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 2.2
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.2 / 4.9
14.0 / 1.0
Total Bases
15.8 / 20.9
16.0 / 8.0
Walks
3.8 / 2.2
1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
COL
MIN
COL
ML
52%
84-78
60%
97-64
50%
80-81
55%
88-73
ATS
59%
95-67
60%
97-64
59%
95-66
52%
83-78
TTL
51%
78-75-9
60%
93-62-6
53%
80-72-9
50%
77-78-6
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