CHICAGO
CUBSCHC
45-38 | Road
4
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
50-30 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Webb
#71 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Megill
#29 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Webb | None-None | 3.47 | -- | 1.0 | 3 |
| Trevor Megill | None-None | 3.48 | -- | 1.0 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.47 Ldr
ERA
3.48
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
3
K (Strikeouts)
3
AI Model Win Probability
CUBS
41%
BREWERS
59%
CUBS
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
52%
Under 0
48%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
CHC By 1-2 runs
16.6%
CHC By 3-4 runs
10.9%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.5%
MIL By 3-4 runs
16.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
3.9
CHICAGO
Milwaukee
4.8
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Brewers
Loss
59% Win Prob
C
Sim
Brewers
Loss
67% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.9
C
Sim
Cubs (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.7
D
Sim
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 9, 2026
CHC @ MIL
6 - 8
Sep 8, 2026
CHC @ MIL
3 - 4
Sep 7, 2026
CHC @ MIL
3 - 4
Sep 3, 2026
MIL @ CHC
1 - 2
Sep 2, 2026
MIL @ CHC
9 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHC
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
2
Games Played
▲
162
0.50
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.129
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.145
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.374
OPS
▲
.743
0
Home Runs
▲
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+15400.0% more
Milwaukee: 154.0
vs
Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+464.0% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Chicago: 0.5
Walks (L5)
+51.9% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Chicago: 3.4
Strikeouts (L5)
+40.2% more
Milwaukee: 9.8
vs
Chicago: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHC Score
3.9
4
MIL Score
4.8
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.4
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.8 / 7.4
10.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 1.9
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.8 / 7.0
12.0 / 12.0
Total Bases
13.9 / 14.8
15.0 / 5.0
Walks
5.1 / 3.4
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHC
89-75-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5%
Total +/-: +1.0
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
CHC
MIL
CHC
ML
62%
101-61
58%
93-68
52%
84-78
51%
82-79
ATS
58%
94-68
61%
97-63-1
48%
78-84
47%
75-85-1
TTL
40%
62-92-8
52%
81-74-6
50%
77-77-8
46%
72-83-6
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