SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
42-42 | Road
5
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
43-40 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Michael Rucker
#38 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Gavin Williams
#32 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rucker | None-None | 8.53 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
| Gavin Williams | 9-4 | 3.81 | 1.14 | 5.0 | 6 |
None-None
W-L
9-4
8.53
ERA
Ldr 3.81
--
WHIP
1.14
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 5.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 6
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
52%
GUARDIANS
48%
MARINERS
--
GUARDIANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.2
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CLE +0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
SEA By 1-2 runs
18.7%
SEA By 3-4 runs
14.1%
CLE By 1-2 runs
18.1%
CLE By 3-4 runs
13.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
4.3
SEATTLE
Cleveland
4.1
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Cleveland
6
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Loss
52% Win Prob
D
Sim
Guardians
Win
83% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Guardians (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +0.2
B
Sim
Guardians (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.4
B
Sim
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 28, 2026
SEA @ CLE
5 - 6
Jun 27, 2026
SEA @ CLE
3 - 4
Jun 26, 2026
SEA @ CLE
3 - 1
Mar 29, 2026
CLE @ SEA
0 - 8
Mar 28, 2026
CLE @ SEA
6 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Cleveland
CLE
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.19
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.239
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.316
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.380
.693
OPS
▲
.696
182
▲
Home Runs
162
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+52.0% more
Seattle: 0.8
vs
Cleveland: 0.3
Total Bases (L5)
+15.7% more
Seattle: 10.1
vs
Cleveland: 8.5
Errors (L5)
+15.0% more
Seattle: 0.6
vs
Cleveland: 0.5
Home Runs (Season)
+11.0% more
Seattle: 182.0
vs
Cleveland: 162.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
4.3
5
CLE Score
4.1
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.6
2.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.4 / 6.7
12.0 / 13.0
Home Runs
0.3 / 0.8
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.3 / 9.0
9.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
8.5 / 10.1
14.0 / 14.0
Walks
3.5 / 1.2
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
SEA
CLE
SEA
ML
54%
87-74
50%
81-81
49%
80-82
52%
85-77
ATS
58%
93-68
60%
98-64
59%
95-67
59%
95-67
TTL
55%
88-71-2
56%
85-67-10
43%
69-90-2
53%
81-71-10
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