Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Perkins
#50 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Reid Detmers
#48 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Perkins | 2-3 | 6.00 | 1.37 | 5.0 | 5 |
| Reid Detmers | 3-5 | 3.88 | 1.05 | 5.2 | 8 |
2-3
W-L
3-5
6.00
ERA
Ldr 3.88
1.37
WHIP
Ldr 1.05
5.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 5.2
5
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 8
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
45%
ANGELS
55%
ATHLETICS
--
ANGELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
57%
Under 0
43%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
ATH By 1-2 runs
17.7%
ATH By 3-4 runs
12.4%
LAA By 1-2 runs
19.0%
LAA By 3-4 runs
14.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
4.4
ATHLETICS
Los Angeles
4.8
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Athletics
4
ATHLETICS
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Angels
Win
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Angels
Win
72% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Angels (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.4
A
Sim
Angels (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.2
C
Sim
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 23, 2026
LAA @ ATH
3 - 7
Sep 22, 2026
LAA @ ATH
7 - 9
Jun 28, 2026
ATH @ LAA
1 - 4
Jun 27, 2026
ATH @ LAA
2 - 5
Jun 26, 2026
ATH @ LAA
9 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Los Angeles
LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.719
▲
OPS
.679
194
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+85.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.9
vs
Athletics: 0.0
Home Runs (L5)
+79.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.2
vs
Athletics: 0.5
Total Bases (L5)
+19.9% more
Los Angeles: 13.9
vs
Athletics: 11.6
Walks (L5)
+31.8% more
Athletics: 3.8
vs
Los Angeles: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
4.4
2
LAA Score
4.8
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.9 / 0.0
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.7 / 9.0
10.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 0.5
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.2 / 10.9
13.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
13.9 / 11.6
14.0 / 8.0
Walks
2.6 / 3.8
5.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
Advantage
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
ATH
LAA
ATH
ML
59%
96-66
59%
95-67
55%
89-73
54%
87-74
ATS
60%
97-65
52%
84-78
51%
82-80
50%
81-80
TTL
53%
83-74-5
54%
84-73-5
52%
82-75-5
42%
66-90-5