COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
58-104 | Road
8
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
77-85 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jimmy Herget
#44 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kody Funderburk
#57 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Herget | None-None | 4.05 | -- | 0.2 | -- |
| Kody Funderburk | None-None | 4.87 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.05 Ldr
ERA
4.87
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
38%
TWINS
62%
ROCKIES
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
66%
Under 0
34%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIN -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
COL By 1-2 runs
15.5%
COL By 3-4 runs
9.8%
MIN By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIN By 3-4 runs
17.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
5
COLORADO
Minnesota
6.3
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Colorado
6
COLORADO
Minnesota
7
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Twins
Loss
62% Win Prob
C
Sim
Twins
Loss
58% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Twins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.3
D
Sim
Rockies (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o9.5
Win
Proj Total: 11.3
A
Sim
o9.5
Win
Proj Total: 13.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 28, 2026
COL @ MIN
2 - 3
Jun 27, 2026
COL @ MIN
8 - 5
Jun 26, 2026
COL @ MIN
8 - 9
Jul 20, 2025
MIN @ COL
7 - 1
Jul 19, 2025
MIN @ COL
6 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Minnesota
MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.64
▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.254
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.322
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.417
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.739
▲
OPS
.720
180
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+62.0% more
Minnesota: 8.8
vs
Colorado: 5.4
Walks (L5)
+36.1% more
Minnesota: 3.8
vs
Colorado: 2.8
Home Runs (Season)
+3.9% more
Minnesota: 187.0
vs
Colorado: 180.0
Errors (L5)
+20.0% more
Colorado: 0.5
vs
Minnesota: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
5.0
8
MIN Score
6.3
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.5
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.3 / 10.7
10.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
1.3 / 1.3
0.0 / 4.0
Strikeouts
8.8 / 5.4
4.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
16.6 / 17.3
14.0 / 28.0
Walks
3.8 / 2.8
4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
COL
MIN
COL
ML
52%
84-78
60%
97-64
50%
80-81
55%
88-73
ATS
59%
95-67
60%
97-64
59%
95-66
52%
83-78
TTL
51%
78-75-9
60%
93-62-6
53%
80-72-9
50%
77-78-6
Contextual Game News
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Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…