SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
76-86 | Road
3
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
85-77 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Logan Gilbert
#36 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Slade Cecconi
#44 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert | 6-4 | 3.42 | 1.01 | 7.0 | 7 |
| Slade Cecconi | 3-6 | 4.18 | 1.40 | 6.0 | 4 |
6-4
W-L
3-6
3.42 Ldr
ERA
4.18
1.01 Ldr
WHIP
1.40
7.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
6.0
7 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
4
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
52%
GUARDIANS
48%
MARINERS
--
GUARDIANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
70%
Under 0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.1
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CLE +0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
SEA By 1-2 runs
18.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
13.9%
CLE By 1-2 runs
18.3%
CLE By 3-4 runs
13.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Cleveland
4.9
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Cleveland
6
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Loss
52% Win Prob
D
Sim
Guardians
Win
65% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Guardians (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +0.1
B
Sim
Guardians (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.9
A
Sim
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 28, 2026
SEA @ CLE
5 - 6
Jun 27, 2026
SEA @ CLE
3 - 4
Jun 26, 2026
SEA @ CLE
3 - 1
Mar 29, 2026
CLE @ SEA
0 - 8
Mar 28, 2026
CLE @ SEA
6 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Cleveland
CLE
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.19
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.239
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.316
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.380
.693
OPS
▲
.696
182
▲
Home Runs
162
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+73.0% more
Seattle: 0.9
vs
Cleveland: 0.2
Home Runs (L5)
+28.0% more
Seattle: 0.7
vs
Cleveland: 0.4
Home Runs (Season)
+11.0% more
Seattle: 182.0
vs
Cleveland: 162.0
Total Bases (L5)
+9.4% more
Seattle: 9.1
vs
Cleveland: 8.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
5.0
3
CLE Score
4.9
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.9
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.1 / 6.1
7.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.4 / 0.7
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.9 / 9.5
8.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
8.3 / 9.1
9.0 / 12.0
Walks
3.8 / 1.7
3.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
SEA
CLE
SEA
ML
54%
87-74
50%
81-81
49%
80-82
52%
85-77
ATS
58%
93-68
60%
98-64
59%
95-67
59%
95-67
TTL
55%
88-71-2
56%
85-67-10
43%
69-90-2
53%
81-71-10
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